Sadly, unless he becomes a Lord, and he says he doesn’t want that, he can’t take up the PM’s post again in the short term.

So, looks like the Lilliputians who crept up on Blair and pinned him down – have won.

And now they’re about to lose.

Clever, eh?

Thursday at Crewe and Nantwich is unlikely to be a winner for Brown, I’m afraid.

I agree with both of you Brown badly needs to get the Labour party back to the centre, something Tony was Master at as we know. Tony also had trouble with the Left trying to rise and stop him on several subjects, but somehow he managed to pacify them enough, just enough, whereas Brown either doesn’t see what is happening or thinks by magic the Left will follow him to the centre because he is PM and that alone should suffice.

Anyway got my fingers, toes crossed for Thursday but won’t hold my breath !! not looking good at the moment, time will tell what the stakes are for Labour and also for Gordon Brown very soon.

From Shaz

Yet, ALL parties must appeal to the centre. It’s as clear as day. The guy replying to Stan gets his numbers the wrong way round too. The 95% are in the centre – the 5% on the extremes.

And now the 5% think their day has come – they will help bury the Labour party at the next election with their nonsense.

So that’s Brown’s task – to show that he is on the side of the ordinary man and woman.

How he’s going to do it, heaven knows.

Events seem still to be in charge of him.

In these circumstances it is essential that Labour supporters stick together and support this goverment despite our reservations about Brown. At least we should go down fighting. I have said more about this in my latest blog at http://theprogressive.typepad.com/the_progressive/2008/05/now-is-the-time.html .

I have been reading more of Cherie Blair’s writings and have been astonished at what she has written. It is one thing to write about the rift etc that was going on with Brown and her husband , but quite another to bring to light all those other things, too much info we all really don’t need to know. No doubt Tony isn’t too pleased about their personal details for all to see either, no doubt there has been a few harsh words between them over what she has written concerning their private life.

More importantly right now is if Labour can come through the by-election without too much damage and gain a bit of dignity, but it really needs to win. Looking at the recent polls it would appear that Cameron is doing too well, well that is what the polls say and you can’t rely on them !! things is though it is the perception that counts and at the moment the public perception of Brown and the Labour party isn’t good, hopefully things will start to turn around soon otherwise things are going to get very uncomfortable.

From Shaz

I must admit to donning my amateur psychologist’s hat trying to work this one out!

He was still a great prime minister though. Even the Brownites can now see that.

What a pity they didn’t listen to the “disinterested” viewpoint when they went for his throat in the first place.

What else can I say, shaz?

I feel it is going to take a miracle of sort for Gordon Brown to stay on as Prime Minister, especially if Labour loses out on the By-election due to take place soon. Question is though who could replace him? that is the question if they do get rid of Brown, who would be able to get back the public’s confidence and push up against the Tories.

Over the weekend I have been reading the articles written by Cherie Blair, John Prescott and Lord Levy on the goings on at Downing street under Tony Blair. It has been quite an interesting read all and all an insight of what was happening behind the scenes. I thought at first why were they publishing all these articles with things being so tense right now over Gordon as PM, a lot of it being quite damming of him. I thought at first that maybe they should be a bit careful and perhaps hold off until things calm down a bit, not rock the boat as it were, but I fear that things have got so bad with Gordon Brown even among the Brown supporters that they feel they need to shock him into action, or shock the Labour party into action or meet with defeat at the next General election. I believe that it has become as bad as that. Tony Blair must be smiling to himself when Gordon has to ring him up and get his advice, who would ever of thought it would have come to that !!. Tony being Tony of course thinking only of the Labour party and wanting to make sure that the Tories don’t get in naturally obliges him. I do think though that unless Gordon Brown can pull something out of the hat, really fast then things are going to go downhill pretty soon, especially if the Media get wind of a take over bid , they will smell blood and it will be curtains for Brown no matter what he does.

Apart from the fact that Brown just isn’t statemanlike like our Tony there are a lot of pressing problems right now, which I think are only going to get worse. For instance Public service workers aren’t happy, with teachers having already done one lot of strikes there could be more in the pipeline if offers don’t improve. But teachers aren’t the only public servants who might get to cause trouble for Brown, the Local Goverment workers are also awaiting to hear results of a ballot paper recently done, if it shows a support for strike action this would involve a lot of services, the strike action would be really felt by the public and Brown would really be in the hot seat.

So, even if Brown looks more like a Prime Minister , learns a bit of charisma and explains things properly not like he is reading out next years budget things could still be very, very sticky for him if strike action amongst public sevants come to pass along with all the other troubles food, fuel , utility bills, Mortgages, house reposessions etc..

The way things look to me now unless things really, really change then we are looking at a Tory Goverment at the next General election, that is of course providing David Cameron doesn’t make a big mistake of some sort, which he might if he becomes over confident.

I hope truly hope that things can be turned around, but it is a hope that is based on a lot of factors as listed above going reasonably right, it is I’m afraid in the lap of the gods.

If only they he/they hadn’t kicked out Tony, having said that even Tony would have found current Global events difficult i.e food prices, fuel etc but he would come over better and I am sure that most of the public would feel more reassured.

From Shaz