Archive for April, 2010

Polanski’s ‘The Ghost’ – playing to an empty cinema near me. How about you?

April 23, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • And now for a bit of true fiction –

    Comment at end

    23rd April 2010

    “The Ghost”. I went, I saw, I was conquered. R-I-G-H-T.

    Me and four others.

    That's not me, btw. (Photograph: Ghislain and Marie David de Lossy/Getty)

    It’s always possible The Ghost, or Ghost Writer if you’re American, is more popular in a cinema near you.  For me it was luxury having no-one else around as I tucked into my giant box of popcorn, and tried to work out if it was the director who’d lost the plot or me. When I’ve worked it out, I’ll review it here.  In the meantime, if you want some peace and quiet, wander off to watch The Ghost. And don’t forget the popcorn.

    Today the news is that Roman Polanski has failed to block his extradition to the USA to complete the nasty business of 33 years ago. And this despite rumours, denied of course, that he asked Sarkozy to ask Obama to ask the courts

    He might have asked for help from someone with more influence.

    Like, say… Tony Blair?

    RELATED




    Free Hit Counter


    The Big Fight: A four-hander in Bristol. Brown Vs Cameron Vs Clegg Vs WHO?

    April 23, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • One of these days I WILL, I promise, add another excerpt to the below. What have you done to deserve this, you might be asking.  Seen Polanski’s ‘The Ghost’?  Now that’s really stretching gullibility.

    Comment at end

    23rd April 2010

    So there we had it. The Second Round. The Big Fight in Bristol.

    And it was a big ‘un. More than the usual two fighters.

    • In the red corner – Gordo The Brown aka The Clucking Fits.
    • In the blue corner  – Cameron, the Kinda Comeback Kid-You-Not.
    • And in the yellow corner – Nick The Nicker. (Can’t read this? OK – In black -)

    And in the yellow corner – Nick The Nicker.

    And who, I hear you ask, was in the fourth corner, rainbow coloured, grey or whatever shade takes your artistic fancy. Who was in the shadows,  there but not quite there, distantly reminiscent and yet newly omniscient, looming lightly or perhaps uncharacteristically heavily over the ring? ( I write with a smile so you can read with a smile. It makes it easier to get to the end.)

    It was none other than The Spirit of Times Gone By. When things could only have only got better… if…

    IT’S ALL ABOUT KNOWING WHERE THE BODIES LIE – ER – LIED

    It WASN’T about which fighter had the most persuasive policies punches, was it? It was about who could land them with the most grace and style – floating like a butterfly, stinging like a bee. It has been for some time in this age of telly.

    A woman on Newsnight summed it all up nicely. A body-language watcher (how do you get a job like that, anyway?)

    I didn’t take notes but she said, more or less -

    “Nick Clegg was doing the gated hands, then the framing of the argument, and the inclusion of the audience with his points. Very, very Tony Blair-like. And the audience in a pavlovian way, lapped it all up, even though they didn’t really realise it or know why.”

    So there we have it. Things can only bet Blairer… lap-lap, sniff-sniff, lick-lick, wag-wag.

    Now, that’s why Cameron has been losing the fight with Nick the Nicker. It’s the Blair factor. Cameron copied it, Clegg pinched the copy, and Brown never owned it to begin with.

    THE ‘YES WE CAN’ MAN

    I thought it was more or less a draw last night, with the Yellow Corner perhaps winning on points.  Though their boy was lucky. He threw the last punch, swinging Obama-esque, with beauty and prescience. This always helps when you have to persuade the largely semi (politically) ignorant (sorry, folks, but I have no interest in representing the voter in parliament or the council hall, so I say what I have noticed to be true.)

    Clegg: “We don’t simply need to choose from the old choices of the past, we don’t need to repeat the mistakes of the past. Dont let anyone tell you that this time it can’t be different, it can.”

    Btw, Peter! Where were you last night? We missed you in Brissol! Were you on the phone, long-distance?  And, Lord Mandelson of The Ring, will you kindly advise those seconds when one of the fighters is ready for the dressing room? We don’t want anyone carried out, do we?

    As The Blair Kid – the Daddy of ‘em all – said before he was counted out:

    BLAIR (15th November, 2006, following Queen’s Speech):

    “At the next election it will be a flyweight versus a heavyweight and however much he may dance around the ring in the end he’ll come face to face with a big clunking fist, and be out on his feet, carried out of the ring, the fifth Tory leader to be carried out, and a Labour government still standing.”


    RELATED
    1.Highlights of transcript from last night’s debate
    2. Andrew Rawnsley & Nick Cohen in – “Is the Party really Over for Labour?” – debate the personality issues between the two Labour heavyweights, Blair & Brown.
    Excerpt:
    Rawnsley: “The Brownites held Blair, I think, in unfair contempt and they always saw him as just totally lightweight, not much more than a breakfast TV presenter — they underestimated Blair. On the other hand, Brown was acutely conscious of Blair’s success and as somebody else said to me, all the time there was this voice nagging in Gordon’s ear — Tony’s voice — saying: “if you want to be successful you’ve got to be like me”. Brown never got his own head around how much he was a sequel to Blair or a change or a renewal, and he was basically crippled by that for the first year of his premiership. He was actually somewhat rescued when the financial crisis hit and he latched on to that to give himself a sense of purpose.



    Free Hit Counter


    What Labour bigwigs REALLY thought of Brown’s 1st TV debate (video)

    April 22, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • One of these days I WILL, I promise, add another excerpt to the below. What have you done to deserve this, you might be asking.  Seen Polanski’s ‘The Ghost’?  Now that’s really stretching gullibility.

    Comment at end

    22nd April 2010

    Described as -”EXCLUSIVE DEBATE FOOTAGE” – Iain Dale has these must see videos.


    [Language warning. This secret film shows the reaction of Peter Mandelson, Alastair Campbell, Tony Blair, Charlie Whelan and Ed Balls to Gordon Brown's performance in the first PM debate last week.]

    ‘Campbell’ – “Tony be quiet, we’re not paying you by the f*****g word.”

    Great visuals and vocals from ‘Mandelson’, seemingly tapping up Brown’s famous drop-chin – “We just want this mouth closed.  It’s hanging there like this great jellyfish or something. Just… just close, close, close the ruddy thing. It looks dreadful. Close it.”

    “… the hands together, the praying shot – it’s all good stuff… oh no that bit isn’t. No, you’ve got the claws out again… and it’s Pat Butcher.  I’m looking at this, Gordon, and I’m frightened.”

    Can’t see the others’ faces, but if you didn’t know better you’d swear that was Tony Blair on the right – well, without the presence. Even the voice, if not the language, was spot-on, my dears. (The sainted one is never coarse! Never. Course not.)

    “We’ve got to win an election. How are we going to win an election with this s**t?”


    And there’s this one -


    Excellent stuff.

    Pay the woman well, and get her to do Clegg too.

    Despite Dale’s inclusion of this link ‘Credit: Alison Jackson, this is one of his commenters – “Sorry to ask, but is this entirely real?”

    Er … NO.  The clue is in the company.  Do you really think half of them would be seen dead with the other half?

    EARLIER ‘EXCLUSIVE’ video

    Blair puts £100 on Cameron to win – see here.

    ETCETERA

    Julie has this on ‘Dacre’s psyche’ with a link to great video on The Daily Mail




    Free Hit Counter


    The knives are out for Gordon. Before or after Tony’s birthday?

    April 22, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • One of these days I WILL, I promise, add another excerpt to the below. What have you done to deserve this, you might be asking.  Seen Polanski’s ‘The Ghost’?  Now that’s really stretching gullibility.

    Comment at end

    22nd April 2010

    [Point of information: TONY'S BIRTHDAY? 6th May. Election day.]

    The present PM, on election tour yesterday (Photo: Martin Argles)

    As we await tonight’s Big Show from Bristol, to see if the newly discovered(?!), down-pegging answer(?!) to all our disillusionment(?!) can do it again, what’s afoot with the Mandelsonians/D-Milibandians, formerly known as the Blairites? Here are three takes on what’s-a-happening behind the scenes, where it all happens dontcha know?

    Guido suspects [Lord Philip] Gould and Mandelson’s real game now is to make Miliband leader with Mandelson as the Dark Prince Regent…

    From one of his “contacts” at San Francisco airport came this to Guido Fawkes, the right-wing blogger who pretends to be politically neutral:

    ‘I’m in the BA lounge at SFO and the guy next to me was receiving some attention. I didn’t recognise him so I ogled his boarding pass. It says “Gould Philip Lord” and I do at least recognise his name. Anyway, he’s not as discreet as he could be. He’s just emailing peter mandelson and I could get a read of the message if I had more balls. Listening to him speak, though, he openly said to someone that he was worried by the polls. He thinks that Labour & Libdems will gradually sink, leaving things clear for Tories. Hoping so…

    I’ll email more if he stays indiscreet.

    And another email reached the inbox a little later…

    To: guido.fawkes@order-order.com
    Date: Wed, Apr 21, 2010 at 11:41 PM
    Subject: Philip Gould in San Francisco airport

    He got an upgrade to first class and is now in seat 01A. He says he “feels so guilty about this first class thing”. He just bought 3 boxes of chocolate covered macadamia nuts.

    IP tracing confirms the email was sent from California. Guido suspects Gould and Mandelson’s real game now is to make Miliband leader with Mandelson as the Dark Prince Regent…

    UPDATE : Just realised Lord Gould will still be mid-Atlantic and won’t know about this until he lands.’

    LEADING THE FUTURE?

    So, it seems we may have PM Miliband before too many weeks have passed. Or will we? Meanwhile where is that other guy? You know the one? Used to be prime minister. Oh, yes. Well, he’s in Malaysia and then Singapore until the end of the month talking about leading the future. You couldn’t make it up. He’ll be back for the last few days of campaigning to lend a hand, volcanoes and other things permitting.


    Then there’s this: according to Andrew Porter at The Telegraph, Torygraph, something is definitely afoot.

    “So poorly has Gordon Brown performed that the Tories have dismissed him entirely as a credible threat. Yet Mandelson remains curiously upbeat. Here is why.

    Polling experts are saying that the Lib Dem surge could see Labour come second in the popular vote and yet still secure the most Commons seats. No one is banking on it, but it is more possible than at any time in the past six months.

    For the likes of Lord Mandelson this represents an opportunity that he probably believed had gone forever. Could he be the man to stitch together a centre-Left coalition with the Lib Dems that marginalises the Tories in a way he and Tony Blair used to dream about?

    Ben Bradshaw, the Culture Secretary, yesterday became the first Cabinet minister to encourage people to vote for a hung parliament.

    For some at Labour’s top table, this is the moment they have been waiting for; when they can kill off Gordon Brown – a sacrifice demanded by Nick Clegg in return for his support – and install a leader with more appeal. That person would be David Miliband.

    If Labour wins most seats in a hung parliament, so the scenario goes, Lord Mandelson would do a deal that sees Mr Clegg serve as deputy prime minister with Vince Cable as Chancellor. Lord Mandelson would take over the vacancy left by David Miliband at the Foreign Office, fulfilling a career-long ambition; Alan Johnson would stay as Home Secretary and leading Lib Dems David Laws and Chris Huhne would be found middle-ranking government positions. Ed Miliband would ensure the smooth running of the coalition as Cabinet Office supremo.

    There are risks. Would the public wear a prime minister who was not on the scene during an election a few weeks before? Would Labour MPs wear David Miliband or a deal with the often hated Lib Dems?

    Lord Mandelson and his acolytes would argue that Labour MPs would wear a leader who gives them a poll bounce and keeps Labour in government.

    Harriet Harman and Mr Johnson are the possible brakes on the plan. Both know what is going on. They, along with Jack Straw, would fancy the idea of being a two-year caretaker leader while the coalition beds down and Labour chooses a new leader.

    The Prime Minister is powerless to stop the plotting. Why? Because at the centre of it is Lord Mandelson, the man who saved him from political oblivion last year.”

    Jonathan Freedland at the still largely Labour-supporting Guardian insists that a manacled Brown needs to be unleashed. I call that making the point and missing it at the same time.

    Excerpt:

    “What explains this curious neutering of the prime minister in his own campaign? The obvious reading is that his colleagues have decided that Brown’s much-discussed limitations in the communications department mean he’s better kept out of sight. But others suspect a different story: that Brown has lost out in a battle for control with his one-time nemesis and new ally, Peter Mandelson.

    In this reading, Mandelson has dispatched Brown to the provinces so that he can remain in charge at the centre. It was Mandelson who did the crucial Today programme interview yesterday morning, Mandelson, backed by Alastair Campbell, who is directing strategy and message from London. Even seasoned Mandelson watchers raised their eyebrows at the business secretary’s treatment of the PM at the Monday morning press conference at Bloomberg’s headquarters. Brown wanted to take more questions, but Mandelson, in the chair, overruled him, telling him he had other things to be getting on with. Neither he, nor anyone else, dared talk that way to Tony Blair.

    In 1997, the Blair battlebus was the centre of the action. In 2010, if an announcement comes on board the Gordon Brown Express, it usually echoes news that’s already broken in London. Brown seems sidelined.”


    RELATED

    From Conservative Home – Labour is now in the greatest peril as Gordon Brown appears to have become the great ignored

    Gordon Brown blocked Blair’s benefit reforms man




    Free Hit Counter


    The US and UK approach on Iraq: Similar but yet so Different

    April 21, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • One of these days I WILL, I promise, add another excerpt to the below. What have you done to deserve this, you might be asking.  Seen Polanski’s ‘The Ghost’?  Now that’s really stretching gullibility.

    Comment at end

    21st April 2010

    This is a cross-post from Julie’s site here. Thank you, J. It is very well researched.

    The US and UK approach on Iraq: Similar but yet so Different

    “Saddam’s Iraq was a concentration camp above ground and a mass grave beneath it.” (Jalal Talabani)

    Few people would probably dispute the above quote by the President of Iraq, Jalal Talabani. Saddam’s regime was well known for its violent nature and the country had a long history of foreign intervention, chemical warfare, ethnic cleansing and religious persecution.

    However, the war against Iraq in 2003 was one of the most controversial political decisions in recent years. International institutions and law make it impossible to invade a country on the sole premise that a brutal and repressive regime is in place and thus has to be removed. In fact, Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter states that the use of force is only authorised under two circumstances. Either, according to Article 51, self-defense is required or, according to Article 42, a valid UN Security Council Resolution is given. In case of Iraq, both legitimisations are highly contested. While some argue that both, or at least one, were given, others insist both were invalid and the war consequently illegal.

    The precondition: The 9/11 atrocities

    “We, therefore, here in Britain stand shoulder to shoulder with our American friends in this hour of tragedy, and we, like them, will not rest until this evil is driven from our world.” (Tony Blair)

    The 9/11 terror attacks had an enormous impact on the external and internal power structures and policies of the US administration and the wider world. They marked the major turning point in the US and UK relationship under Bush and Blair which, arguably, would have never become so close without them.

    Blair was the first foreign leader to ensure the President that his country stood “shoulder to shoulder” with the Americans and his instant reaction to the attacks included three premises which determined his premiership until the end: First, unconditional support for the US. Secondly, a desire to unite the widest possible coalition against terror. And thirdly, the belief that Islamic fundamentalist grievances were connected to the need for justice to the Palestinians.

    The atrocities were a significant precondition for US and UK joint foreign policy over the next years, including the war against Iraq. It became an integral part of what Bush coined “the war on terror”. As a result, they changed the mentality of the Bush administration and put self-defence and conflict prevention on top of the political agenda. An administration which followed previously the traditional line of American isolationism, now embraced a proactive foreign and security policy.

    Even though Blair stressed that 9/11 was not an attack on America but the West, the atrocities ultimately happened on American soil and affected and traumatised the Americans far worse than any other nation. As a result, it was far easier for the US administration to justify whatever action against international terrorism, including the invasion of Iraq, than it was for their British counterparts.  Blair faced constant scrutiny and pressure from the media, the public, the opposition and even parts of his own party to justify his policy on Iraq.

    Against the background of the comparison between the US and UK approaches in relation to Iraq, the 9/11 terror attacks played a significant role by uniting Bush and Blair in their belief that international terrorism had to be addressed, rogue states had to be detained from gaining nuclear capabilities, and that it was morally right to get rid of Saddam. Ultimately, it was the shock of the 9/11 atrocities which created a strong bound between Blair and Bush, who had not much in common besides their determination to confront terrorism. And even in relation to that, their approach was often entirely different.

    Internationalism versus Isolationism: The ideologies behind the war

    “We live in a world where isolationism has ceased to have a reason to exist. By necessity we have to co-operate with each other across nations” (Tony Blair)

    Blair was interested in Iraq long before the Bush administration and repeatedly claimed as a response to the Blair is Bush’s poodle attacks that it was him who first addressed the problem of Iraq and the potential threat posed by Saddam Hussein rather than the President. The Prime Minister had already been involved in action against the Iraqi regime together with President Clinton, after they agreed that they would be ready to use force if Iraq failed to comply with the will of the UN which ultimately resulted in joint military air strikes in 1998.

    Blair’s willingness to engage in international conflicts also became clear in other military actions, such as Kosovo and later in Sierra Leone and Afghanistan. His belief in liberal interventionism is deeply rooted in his Oxford days when he was heavily influenced by the philosophy of John McMurray, especially by his doctrine of communitarianism, the idea that political power can make a difference and the moral obligation to use it. He firmly believed that it was not on the US alone to solve international crisis but that a multilaterist approach was required.

    This conviction was strongly emphasised by Blair when he delivered his famous Chicago speech in April 1999, where he outlined the doctrine of the international community. According to David Manning, Foreign Policy Advisor to Blair, the doctrine  is very “important in understanding the Prime Minister, not to assume that when we reached the point that he commits troops, he is doing this because it is something George Bush tells him to do.

    In this speech, Blair again pointed at the brutality of Saddam’s regime and compared him to Serbian dictator Slobodan Milosevic. According to the Prime Minister, it was impossible “to turn our backs on conflicts and the violation of human rights within other countries if we want still to be secure”. He thus challenged the premise that non-interference was always the right response and named conditions under which it was justifiable for a country to interfere in another country’s affairs.  Significantly, he made clear that “this speech has been dedicated to the cause of internationalism and against isolationism”.

    It marks one of the strongest differences in US and UK policy, with the Blair administration coming from a completely different ideological angle, since the Bush administration has been a primary example of US isolationism, before 9/11. According to Nigel Sheinwald, the successor of David Manning, there was growing concern in London when the Bush administration came into power over increased US isolationism when “unilaterist voices were at their height”. Indeed, in the first nine months of the Bush administration, foreign policy was not high on the agenda. There was clearly reason to worry, since it was Condoleezza Rice who heavily criticised Blair for his Chicago speech in 1999, and was categorically opposed to the idea that America should risk the lives of its soldiers abroad, instead of concentrating on domestic policies.

    Arguably these completely opposed underlying presumptions made it very difficult for both countries to have a common and unified policy on Iraq. Throughout the process which led to military action against Iraq, Blair would be constantly challenged by some of the US administration, most notably by Vice President Cheney and Defence Secretary Rumsfeld, for his multilateral approach, his determination to try to reach disarmament through the UN, plans for nation building in post-war Iraq, and his demand to revive the Israeli/Palestinian peace process as part of the overall Middle East strategy.

    Multilateralism versus Unilateralism: Going down the UN route

    Cheney’ people in particular believed that America didn’t need anybody. This was the most blatant, arrogant, insolent type of unilateralism (Lawrence Wilkinson)

    The British government faced strong opposition for its proposal to take the issue of Iraq down the UN route. Especially the neo-conservatives, like Cheney and Rumsfeld, but also Rice and Bush were critical of the approach. They rejected the idea of placing the United States’ national security interests into the hands of the UN, bound by denial of Saddam’s regime to cooperate, economic interest of the Russians and strong opposition by France. However, the Prime Minister made it clear again and again that without going down the UN route and trying to resolve the dispute peacefully, Britain could and would not be willing to take part in any military action.

    Britain had several interests to go down the UN route which were not fully supported by the US. Firstly, Blair believed that it was the best way to try to resolve the issue peacefully and, according to Sir Jeremy Greenstock, the UK’s Ambassador to the UN at that time,”it was the point of view of the United Kingdom that the use of force could not be justified unless every avenue had been tried to bring Iraq into compliance”.

    Secondly, the British government believed that international terrorism should be confronted by the international community or at least a broad multi-national coalition. According to Greenstock, “the United Kingdom had a different approach from the United States, to the extent that we believed that action on or against Iraq should be unequivocally collective”.

    Thirdly, they were keen not to undermine the authority of the UN, and thereby upsetting their European allies, such as France.

    Fourthly, going down the UN route was necessary for legal reasons, since the UK’s legal basis for going to war against Iraq was bound to Saddam’s non-compliance with previous UNSC Resolutions, and thus, according to Greenstock, “had to be based on Security Council Resolutions”.

    Finally, Blair knew that the British public would only support military action if he had UN support or at least had attempted to seek UN support. Otherwise he knew his premiership was threatened.

    In contrast, the Bush administration was prepared to take military action against Iraq without the support of the UN and even without its key ally, the UK. Rumsfeld made it clear that the US was prepared to take military action on its own. In relation to that, they were also not greatly concerned about upsetting other European countries by ignoring the UN.

    Most importantly, they believed it was unnecessary going down the UN route for legal reasons, since their official policy was regime change, something which happened in Kosovo and other countries before, without the authorisation of the UNSC. Furthermore, public opinion was not a great concern either, since Bush never argued the case for deposing Saddam Hussein on specifics. He didn’t need to. In the shock of 9/11 the Americans people gave Bush a licence to hit back against unspecific enemies. In the post-9/11 period, it was enough for Bush to stress the danger deriving from international terrorism and its cooperation with rogue states and the US’s strategic interests in the Middle East.

    When communication broke down at the UN, after the French refused to accept the second UNSC Resolution, the UK government was in an extremely tricky situation. Although they had unanimously secured Resolution 1441, a second resolution would have rounded up the issue legally and also would have helped to sell the war at home. Now they were in a situation where peaceful negotiations had failed and they were left with a choice of either undermining the authority of the UN and following the US into war, or backing away and risking the UK’s credibility and reputation as a military power.

    Again, it was a choice the US government did not have to take. According to Greenstock, Bush told Blair once that “we, ourselves, don’t particularly need a second resolution, but we realise that you do”. For that reason, nobody in the administration, except for Colin Powell and to some extent Condoleezza Rice, were keen on going down the UN route anyway, and the neo conservatives believed that their view of a weak and indecisive UN had been confirmed. According to Manning, the neo-conservatives in the Bush administration saw the UN as “an impediment and an obstacle” to their policy.

    Surprisingly, Rice had acknowledged, after being skeptical at the beginning, that it was also in the interest of the US to secure the respective UNSC Resolutions and Powell had a “much more multilaterists” approach right from the start. But Powell and Rice were pushed aside by Cheney and Rumsfeld who got impatient with the UN, after the failure of the second resolution, and hence the Americans refused to give the UN inspectors more time. Again, the UK position was different and, according to Manning, the British government “believed that the inspections should have been given more time to work”.

    Now they were seen as being pushed into war by the US and it clearly did not help the British government to establish a robust legal cover as well as a solid and sound justification for the UK’s participation in military action.

    Regime change versus disarmament: The issue of legality

    “It is important here to bring out a distinction perhaps between us and the Americans. Our view, the Prime Minister’s view, the British Government’s view (…) was that the aim was disarmament. It was not regime change” (David Manning)

    In terms of the underlying legal basis for going to war, the US and UK approach was also fundamentally different in key aspects. While the US official policy was regime change, the UK’s policy was disarmament. Again, it was a lot easier for the US to make the case than for the UK which was dependent on a very complex legal structure to cover up the invasion lawfully.

    The US administartion believed that they were able themselves to make the determination that Iraq was in material breach” and as a result, the approval of the UN Security Council was not necessary to obtain legal cover for going to war. They were determined throughout to ensure that they were able to decide freely on the issue of Iraq, without being tied to the UN, which they regarded as a sovereign right of the US. From the beginning of 2002 up to the invasion of Iraq, some in the US administration, most notably Cheney and Rumsfeld, also tried to establish a link between Al-Qaida and Saddam’s regime to justify the policy of regime change. According to the Prime Minister’s Chief of Staff, the UK strongly rejected the claim on the basis of a lack of intelligence and “spent quite a long time disagreeing with the Americans about the link”.

    In fact, the policy of the US was illegal in terms of British law. According to the UK’s Attorney General, Peter Goldsmith, it would have been unlawfully for Britain going to war on the sole permise that Saddam’s regime was brutal and needed to be removed. He thus made clear that “regime change was not a basis for (..) lawful use of force” and the authorisation of the UNSC was required.

    In order to pursue the policy of disarmament, Britain argued with the danger of WMDs in allusion to Article 51 of the UN Charter, namely the right for self defence. But it would be wrong to take the WMD argument as the primary justification for the UK’s legal cover. Most importantly, the Blair administration went for the second option which authorises military action in relation to Article 42, namely a valid UNSCR.

    For that reason, Resolution 1441 was extremely crucial for the UK. Even though London still tried at that stage to disarm Saddam peacefully through the UN, the British government was determined to leave all options on the table, including military action. they clearly would have preferred to secure a second resolution, since it would have made it incredibly easier to establish legal cover for military action. However, they made sure that Resolution 1441 was drafted in such a way that it was enough in combination with previous UNSC Resolutions, namely 660, 678, 687, and 1137, to lawfully take part in the invasion.

    In particular Resolution 678, the legal basis for military action during the first Gulf war, and Resolution 687, which determined the conditions for the ceasefire between the UN and Iraq, were extremely important. According to Goldsmith, the legal advisor to the UN confirmed that “the original authority to use force in Resolution 678 could revive, if there were a material breach, but said it was for the Security Council to determine”.

    That was exactly what UNSC Resolution 1441 achieved for the UK which was adopted unanimously by the Security Council. It not only confirmed that Saddam remained in “material breach” and gave him “a final opportunity to comply”, but also stated in operational paragraph 4, that a failure to comply unconditionally and immediately and fully with the inspectors was itself a further material breach. As a result, it authorised “serious consequences”, as indicated in operational paragraph 13, which ensured that the UK did not have to seek a second resolution to legally cover military action.

    Again, it turned out that building the case for war was a greater challenge for the British than for the American administration, which derived not only from the multilateralist appraoch, but also their need for a different legal cover and keeping the opponents at bay at home.

    Nation–building versus The Pentagon strategy: The aftermath and wider implications

    “We don’t do nation-building.” (Donald Rumsfeld)

    What distinguished US and UK Iraq policy furthermore was the aftermath-planning. As established before, there were many differences and conflicts between the two administrations but no other topic was as often raised by British officials like this one and many of them outspokenly, in an almost unusual direct way, complained about the approach of the American counterparts. Here, the completely opposing underlying ideology of both governments became crystal clear again. London pursued a policy of detailed aftermath-planning and nation-building plans, including a strong role for the UN. There existed the firm believe that responsibility did not end with the removal of Saddam and a successful military campaign, but that it was also the duty of the coalition to help rebuilding Iraq.

    On the contrary, Washington’s policy was shaped by the thinking of the neo-conservatives. According to Sir Peter Ricketts, Permanent Secretary in the FCO, the Prime Minister and the Foreign Secretary stressed in conversations with the White House that “they must take planning for post conflict Iraq just as seriously as planning for military operation. The problem was that the Pentagon jealously guarded its control over the post-war period and was not greatly concerned about the advice coming from London.

    As a result, it took the British not only by surprise that the Pentagon was in full charge but was also registered with great concern and dismay. Jonathan Powell called it a “mistake” to allow Rumsfeld and his team to run the campaign and claimed that the State Department had been previously in charge of it, “had done the planning”, and hence should have remained in the driving seat.

    Further concern was raised by Lord Boyce, British Chief of the Defence Staff and one of the greatest critics of US post-war planning. He told the Iraq Inquiry recently that he was greatly “concerned about the anorexic nature” of the US participation before the invasion and Rumsfeld’s approach of “we are here to do the war fighting, not the peacekeeping”. He then summarised in a mocking and cynical way what he clearly regarded as inexcusable naivety from the American side:

    “As far as the Pentagon was concerned, (…) they just thought that Iraq would be fine on one day, that, having knocked Saddam Hussein down, that the place suddenly the following day would be a lovely democracy and everybody would be happy”.

    The differences in US and UK post-war policy became most apparent in two distinctive areas. One issue of conflict occurred again in relation to the involvement of the UN, where the British favoured a strong role and, according to Tony Blair, “wanted to bring [them] back in”. This was achieved through UNSC Resolution 1483, on which the Americans only reluctantly agreed on, and which outlined the areas of concern of the UN’s special representative, Sergio Vieira de Mello. However, he was killed in a terrorist attack in August 2003 and his assassination led to an immediate pull-out of UN personnel in Iraq.

    The second matter of concern was the Deba’athification, a policy pursued by the US Ambassador Bremer. The neo-conservatives were close to an Iraqi exile, Ahmed Chalabi, who extensively supported the idea of the Deba’athification and on whom the Americans primarily based their judgement. On the contrary, the policy was strongly opposed by London and parts of the Bush administration, including Condoleezza Rice. Jonathan Powell told the Iraq Inquiry recently that he rejected the idea and “there was absolutely nobody in London (…) who thought that disbanding the army or disbanding or having a purge on the Ba’ath Party was a good idea.

    Both, the Deba’athification and the disbanding of the Iraqi army, turned out to be two of the most fatal mistakes in post-war strategy, with even the Prime Minister admitting that it should not have happened.

    Addressing wider implications of the post-war period, a further distinction, was the different approaches towards Middle East policy. The British government pushed hard on the Americans to revive the peace process between Israel and Palestine because they believed that it was inevitable if the Islamic world would not to be alienated by the military action in Iraq. However the Bush administration did not share the assumptions by the British and did not undertake great attempts to make progress in the region, besides the publication of the road map for which the British had to push very hard.

    Conclusion

    Apparently, the two governments shared the perception in the post-9/11 era that action needed to be taken in terms of international terrorism and confronting rogue states and their ambition to build nuclear capabilities. However, there are striking differences in the policy-shaping and decision-making process. Differences did not only occur on major issues, such as ideology, political philosophy, and legality. They also became apparent in smaller details such as rhetoric and the role of God in politics. Metaphorically one could say that both countries used the same frame but painted entirely different pictures.

    The second precondition, namely the set up of the two administrations in Washington and London, naturally led to discrepancies. It would be naive to expect a right-wing Republican Party and a centre-left Labour Party to share the same fundamental views on world politics. What clearly brought them together was the shock of 9/11, resulting in a shift in the perception of potential threats. Containment policy was not longer acceptable and was replaced by a pro-active foreign policy approach. There existed a strong belief, whether right or wrong, that war is sometimes the right catalyst to battle the roots of terrorism, and hence restore peace and security.

    But even though the US and UK formed an alliance in the case of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, it was impossible for both administrations to cover up the differences in the long run. In public, Bush and Blair always tried to speak with one voice on the issue of international terrorism, for the sake of providing consistency and unity. However, advisors and civil servants were keener to reveal discrepancies, especially during the ongoing Iraq Inquiry in Britain.

    The debate over the war in Iraq is not over yet. It will take many more years to close the chapter. Consequently, further interesting revelations can be expected to follow.



    These are “Possibly related posts: (automatically generated)” from Julie’s site, in case you want to read the anti case. The first one below is well thought through, and considers that the error in Iraaq is more in the follow-through planning than in the policy of invading per se. We get few like that written here in Britain, where it’s invariably – “we all know, don’t we?” Despite the growing evidence that Iraq was probably the right decision, and Afghanistan may well turn out to have been the wrong one, one was legal and the other not. And that’s the sole criteria, as ‘we all know’.



    Free Hit Counter


    ‘Success in Iraq is No Accident’. Yes, SUCCESS!

    April 21, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • Comment at end

    21st April 2010

    Since some of our filmmakers, book-writers, journalists, peacenik nutters, commenters and political analysts continue to hound Tony Blair (though not George W Bush to anything like the same extent) for his and Britain’s involvement in Iraq, I have a suggestion.  Before we peace ‘n’ loving ‘caring’ citizens arrest and charge the guy, then drag him to The Hague, after which formalities we’ll hang him or show some compassion and let him off with a touch of everyday liberal torture (as he clearly deserves) it’s worth dropping this information into the mix.

    It’s an article by Fox’s Mike Baker, a former CIA agent. In my humble opinion we Brits, should still be helping the Americans to help the Iraqi people. Instead, once Blair was safely disposed of, Gordon Brown took his usual weasely way out – his hands-off  Tony’s War – game. We made as speedy an exit as was decent. In Basra the guidance and assistance of our forces was legendary and largely appreciated. Our departure from Basra was hugely controversial. We were, as we still are as regards Iraq, dealing with an unsympathetic press. As with the Americans in Vietnam, if our war in Basra was lost, it was not due to military defeat, but to public opinion.  Blair may have remained unbowed to the end as regards his decision and God knows he has suffered for that. But our departure was the press’s doing, not simply the populist expediency of Gordon Brown, the man who wrote about “courage”.

    By the way, does a ‘hole in the ground – Tikrit’ sound familiar. It is.

    Success In Iraq No Accident

    By Mike Baker, FOXNews.com

    There’s good news in the deaths of two top terrorists in Iraq that goes beyond simply removing murderers from the planet.

    Job security isn’t what it used to be for terrorists in Iraq. U.S. and Iraqi officials announced on Monday that the two top leaders of Al Qaeda in Iraq were hunted down and killed in a week long operation near Tikrit. Abu Ayyub Al-Masri, the leader of Al Qaeda in Iraq and his murdering cohort Abu Omar al-Baghdadi were discovered in a hole in the ground during a combined Iraqi-US military and intelligence operation. There’s a satisfying synergy to learning that these two butchers were found in a hole in the ground.

    It is especially important to note that the operation’s success involved the Iraqi military and intelligence service, supported by U.S. personnel. This was not the U.S. acting on its own, or with a token level of assistance by Iraqi elements. A success story over the past couple of years has been the ability of the Iraqi military and intel organization to assume responsibility for security operations. Over the past year in particular, the Iraqis have shown an increasing ability to target and degrade the Al Qaeda in Iraq structure.

    Admittedly a long time in the making, the training and building of the Iraqi forces has always been seen as a critical component of the effort to create a stable and democratic post-Hussein Iraq.

    That effort has been quietly moving forward as other aspects of Iraq, notably the dysfunctional nature of its politics, have garnered more press. But all the while, with occasional frustrations and setbacks, the Iraqi forces have been gaining experience, confidence and trust.

    The public has improved its perception of the home team and that has allowed further success, as the population proves more willing to work with the military in combating terrorism and violent elements. This cooperation and relative goodwill will be crucial in the comings months as continuing political discord following the recent elections will test the country’s ability to not backslide into sectarian violence.

    It’s a work in progress to be sure. But there’s good news in the deaths of two top terrorists that goes beyond simply removing murderers from the planet. Its a story of hard fought success and the promise of stability for the future when the Iraqis once again are on their own.

    Mike Baker served for more than 15 years as a covert field operations officer for the Central Intelligence Agency, specializing in counterterrorism, counternarcotics and counterinsurgency operations around the globe. Since leaving government service, he has been a principal in building and running several companies in the private intelligence, security and risk management sector and has recently returned to Diligence LLC, a company he cofounded in 2000, as President. He appears frequently in the media as an expert on counterterrorism, intelligence and homeland security. Baker is also a partner in Classified Trash, a film and television production company. Baker serves as a script consultant, writer and technical adviser within the entertainment industry, lending his expertise to such programs as the BBC’s popular spy series “Spooks,” as well as major motion pictures.

    Fox Forum is on Twitter. Follow us @fxnopinion.


    RELATED

    UPDATE – Interpol issues arrest warrant against Saddam’s daughter

    1. War in Iraq  – a remarkable Success

    2. As I mentioned here the other day on Iraq:

    THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY

    It would ALL have happened with or without Blair and Britain. On the bad side – insurgents would have been still murdering their own (as they continue to do to try to scare off the Americans as they have us Brits). And on the good side – democracy would still be taking strong roots in Iraq, with all that that brings. As for the ugly – we’ve got that already – our very own beloved ‘liberal’ press.

    What Good stuff? For instance -

    None of this, the good fallout, has anything to do with Tony Blair of course, does it?


    One of these days I WILL, I promise, add another excerpt to the below. What have you done to deserve this, you might be asking.  Seen Polanski’s ‘The Ghost’?  Now that’s really stretching credibility gullibility.

    À la mode of Harris & Polanski – TRUE FICTION – ‘The Prime Minister’s Mistress’ and The Prime Minister’s Mistress (‘Labyrinto’) … continued (Part 2)




    Free Hit Counter


    Imprisoning filmmakers, musicians and artists in Iran

    April 21, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • Fancy a bit of true fiction?

    Comment at end

    21st April 2010

    Followed through from this at Foreign Policy

    Exiled Iranian filmmaker Bahman Ghobadi tells FP how he fell in love with cinema — and why Iran needs its film industry now more than ever.

    Earlier this week, a prominent Iranian filmmaker, Mohammad Nourizad, was sentenced to three and a half years in prison for “insulting” Iran’s leaders in the aftermath of last June’s presidential election. He is hardly the first filmmaker to get in trouble with the regime; today, artists like Nourizad are at the center of Iran’s internal struggle. For 31 years, social commentary under the Islamic Republic of Iran has become increasingly politicized. With the regime viewing the enforcement of strict religious values as one of its fundamental goals, the line between personal expression and criticism of the government has become blurred. Censors from the country’s Ministry of Culture have clamped down, but filmmakers have also pushed back, using their work to test the regime’s limits. Some, such as Jafar Panahi, have been thrown in jail, while others, such as Mohsen Makhmalbaf, have chosen exile.

    From the YouTube channel -

    NetworkReleasing — 24 February 2010 — Independent UK distributor Network Releasing will release the award-winning film NO ONE KNOWS ABOUT PERSIAN CATS on 26th March 2010 at venues including Curzon Soho, Ritzy Brixton, Belmont Picturehouse Aberdeen, Little Theatre Bath, Bristol Watershed, Showroom Sheffield, Irish Film Institute and the Lighthouse Dublin.

    The acclaimed fifth feature film from Bahman Ghobadi, the director of Half Moon and Turtles Can Fly opened the Certain Regard strand of the 2009 Cannes Film Festival. It combines musical performances with an edgy underground narrative and follows Iranian musicians Negar (Negar Shaghagi) and Ashkan (Ashkan Koshanejad) as they look for band members to play at a London concert plus the visa that allows them to leave totalitarian Tehran to do so.

    NO ONE KNOWS ABOUT PERSIAN CATS features music from a wide range of genres including Iranian rap, jazz and electric blues. Executive produced by imprisoned Iranian-American journalist Roxana Saberi the film includes performances in English and Farsi.

    For over 30 years the Iranian government has banned certain types of music compelling many fans of Iranian alternative music and western bands to go underground.

    The band that features in the film called Take It Easy Hospital now live in London having fled their homeland.

    Ashkan, the male lead in the film, was imprisoned in Iran for 21 days for performing in a rock concert.

    For more information go to: http://www.networkreleasing.com/micro…


    IRANIAN JUSTICE FOR BRITISH CRITICS?

    Some might wonder if it’s worth having the Iranian system of artistic censorship here in Britain – just for a few weeks, say.

    After all, our unbalanced liberal literati, the traditional wellspring of the inspiration behind much of our artistic output,  is so fond of telling us that we ‘Brits live in a police state’. They have the right to say what they want in this ‘police state’, rubbish or not, and to incite away. And they do, in their self-obsessed state of semi-political consciousness. No-one arrests, imprisons or charges such halfwits, even when they try this or suggest this.

    On second thoughts, I think it might take a little longer than a few weeks to round up, charge and lock up such as the artistic ‘brains’ behind such films and books as ‘The Ghost’. Some of them are out of the country nursing their “human rights”.

    When it comes to criticising political leaders, ‘our’ guys and a few who’re NOT ours deserve an Oscar … er, Tony.


    RELATED

    In all seriousness, folks:

    Theo Van Gogh: To Murder a Dutch artist is to Murder Freedom




    Free Hit Counter


    Nick Clegg’s Policy on Arms (especially for John Rentoul)

    April 21, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here. “He’s not a war criminal. He’s not evil. He didn’t lie. He didn’t sell out Britain or commit treason. He wasn’t Bush’s poodle. He hasn’t got blood on his hands. The anti-war nutters must not be allowed to damage Blair’s reputation further. He was a great PM, a great statesman and a great leader.”
  • Fancy a bit of true fiction?

    Comment at end

    21st April 2010

    To help out John Rentoul here -

    Want anything else on it, John? Just let me know.

    Update: John Rentoul has now used the above at his site here. He includes a link to this at The Sun on Lib Dem avoidance tactics.

    CLEGG URGED TO AVOID THEIR NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT POLICY

    I can’t imagine why.

    Not, note, on avoiding anything as mundane or as un-pc as a nuclear attack.  Just on avoiding being asked about how Clegg’s Lib Dem-run Britain would avoid a nuclear attack,  in the LD unilateral absence of Trident.

    (Especially, presumably, now that Tony Blair blew it for us with the Yanks, by being such good pals with them.)

    Confused? Them too.

    Better go and ask Big Ron at Rentoul’s. He’ll explain it all in his usual erudite way.




    Free Hit Counter



    Follow

    Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

    Join 1,234 other followers