Archive for September, 2010

Why Ed Miliband’s PM ambitions are all but impossible (Part 1)

September 29, 2010
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    29th September 2010

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    Ed Miliband is the 23rd leader of the Labour party

    His task, as for all party leaders, is to lead his party back to government

    THIS IS WHY I SUGGEST THAT TASK IS ALL BUT IMPOSSIBLE

    In the period of the Labour party’s existence, over 100 years, there have only EVER been FOUR Labour party leaders who have led their party into government. FOUR.  Ever. MacDonald in 1923. Attlee in 1945. Wilson in 1964. Blair in 1997.







    I do hate to be a party pooper, but I feel somehow duty bound to remind the present Labour party what it lost when it allowed the removal of Tony Blair. He was their most successful leader ever, and the only Labour leader to win three consecutive general elections.

    So, soak up these facts and in particular note the number of years between each first election victory of each winner and the next winner’s first election victory: 22/19/33.

    If Ed Miliband aims to be the FIFTH leader to lead his party to power he will indeed be a record-breaker. It is only four months since Labour was ousted. The Labour party may, if history is indicative of anything at all, have another 24 years to wait before they are led into power once more. Perhaps that is why Mr Miliband talks of  ‘a new generation’. They’re likely to need a few.


    Leaders of the Labour Party since 1906 (source)

    Main article: Leader of the Labour Party (UK)
    Number of years served as leader (in parentheses)
    James Keir Hardie was an early democratic soci...

    James Keir Hardie was an early democratic socialist, and the first leader of the Labour party. (Image via Wikipedia)

    Although these were technically leaders of the Labour Party, they only assumed this role because of the death or resignation of the incumbent and were not elected to the post. They were in effect acting temporary leaders. Margaret Beckett was deputy leader when leader John Smith unexpectedly died, and she automatically became leader as a result of his death. Similarly, George Brown, who became leader after the death of Hugh Gaitskell, had been deputy leader at the time of Gaitskell’s death. Harriet Harman was deputy leader when Gordon Brown resigned the leadership in the wake of his May 2010 election defeat.

    Another striking aspect of the length of time Labour party leaders have served is how short most of them were. With Clement Attlee way out ahead at 20 years , only Blair and Wilson served 10 years or more (both served 13). Excluding those three and the three temporary leaders of 1963, 1994 and 2010, the average time served as leaders was 5.3 years.

    Please note that as Prime Minister, Blair outdid all of them, even Wilson by two years, at 10 and 8 respectively.

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    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”



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    Miliband Disaster/Labour at War? More GB’s doing than TB’s

    September 29, 2010
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    29th September 2010

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    Two items of interest that resonate as we await the David of The Miliband will he/won’t he? announcement.

    First of all, and very interesting if true, is this at The Guardian[h/t here]:

    It is said that Gordon Brown rang John Prescott to urge him NOT to get behind David Miliband. This would be here (13th Sep)  pointing to here (5th Sep.)

    Guardian:

    Gordon Brown privately intervened in the Labour leadership election by ringing Lord Prescott to try to persuade him not to put out a statement in support of David Miliband, the Guardian has learned.

    The former prime minister rang Prescott after the Ed Miliband camp heard word that he was swinging behind David Miliband. Prescott was said to be impressed with the way the shadow foreign secretary was defending Labour’s record in office over the previous 13 years.

    [See Prescott here - "The real hustings' winner is - Labour's record" -

    But whoever is elected leader to hold the Lib Con Coalition government to account and lead our party back to Government, will need to highlight Labour’s achievements alongside their new progressive policy agenda and campaign hard to promote both.

    On this occasion, it seems the clearest defence of the Labour Government’s real achievements over 13 years came from David Miliband.

    He said: “We have to defend it with an absolute passion because if we trash our record no-one’s going to believe us in the future.”

    David has also rightly made much of the importance of greater campaigning and organisation.]

    Guardian, continued…

    The disclosure about Brown, who refused to express any preference during the leadership contest in public, came as David Miliband prepares to bow out of frontline British politics.  [...]

    Concerns that Ed Miliband was dismissive of Labour’s electoral success prompted Prescott to issue a barely-coded statement supporting David Miliband. On his blog, Prescott said he supported candidates that backed Labour’s achievements in office and praised the elder Miliband.

    The Guardian also understands that consideration was given to Tony Blair and Prescott putting out a joint statement in support of David Miliband. The plan was dropped after David Miliband’s camp feared that an endorsement from the man that won Labour three elections would damage his chances of being elected due to his unpopularity with some constituency members.

    David Miliband gave a taste of his frustration at the manner of his defeat when he reacted angrily to his brother’s description of the Iraq war as wrong. The shadow foreign secretary, who has been praised for the dignified way in which he accepted defeat, chided Harriet Harman for clapping his brother’s description of the war as wrong. Harman, in common with David Miliband, voted in favour of the war in 2003. With a thunderous look on his face, as he listened to his brother’s speech, the older Miliband could be seen saying to Harman: “You voted for it. Why are you clapping?” With a fixed smile on her face Harman responded with the words: “I am clapping because, as you know, I am supporting him.” The exchange, picked up by an ITN camera trained on David Miliband during his brother’s entire speech, came after the new Labour leader delivered an unequivocal declaration about the war.

    “I do believe that we were wrong. Wrong to take Britain to war and we need to be honest about that,” he said. “Wrong because that war was not a last resort, because we did not build sufficient alliances and because we undermined the United Nations. America has drawn a line under Iraq and so must we.”

    The brief outburst by David Miliband showed his acute sensitivity about one aspect of the Labour leadership contest where he believes his brother behaved in a disingenuous way. Ed Miliband said early on during the contest that the Iraq war had been a mistake. David Miliband slapped down his brother in July by saying that Diane Abbott was the only leadership candidate who could credibly claim to have opposed the war. Ed Miliband, who was teaching in the US at the time of the war, insisted he had opposed military action at the time.

    Aides to David Miliband were relaxed last night that his private frustration over his brother’s handling of Iraq had come into the open. “That’s what he thinks,” one friend said.


    SECOND JUICY ITEM

    Who is SAID to have said of Ed Miliband – “a disaster in waiting”?

    This was at the Herald Scotland and has been virally copied elsewhere since, in the usual way. I always prefer to find an authoritative source for quotes, and I haven’t found other than quotes of quotes on this one.

    But, just so you know, it is SAID that TONY BLAIR (remember him?) said that Ed Miliband is “a disaster-in-waiting”. I’ve checked through ‘A Journey’, and although Mr Blair mentions Ed Miliband several times, he doesn’t actually say anything all that detrimental about Ed M, except to make it clear that he thought of the two Eds (Balls and Miliband) as firmly in Brown’s camp in the TB/GBs struggle.

    Herald Scotland: “Mandelson said Ed Miliband’s leadership would lead Labour into an electoral cul-de-sac. Alan Johnston, the former home secretary, was more explicit. He said Ed would split the party and would keep it out of power for “many years”. Blair is said to have branded Ed a “disaster-in-waiting”.

    Yet despite the attacks, Edward Samuel Miliband, 40, son of the late Marxist intellectual, Ralph Miliband, and an MP for only five years, this morning finds himself at the head of a party he has been a member of since he was 17, with most expecting him to lead a head-on war with the Conservative-led coalition all the way till the next election in 2015.”

    Well, we waited, and the disaster’s upon us.

    [Thanks to Tom Carew here at Facebook for reminding me of this.]

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    Recent comments:

    “Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”

    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”


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    To be Honest, Ed – we’re not all in your “new generation”

    September 28, 2010

    28th September 2010

    JUST A MINUTE, MR YOUNG ED MILIBAND!

    Sean O’Grady at The Independent has it absolutely right. “Cobblers”, he neatly puts it.

    FIGHTBACK TIME

    There is NO merit in the under 40s running anything. In fact that prospect is chock full of demerits. It is high time politics was grasped back from the hands of the immature and shallow of thinking. From such as Mili-E.

    This, by Ed Miliband, was pure ageism.  Perhaps surprising to some in the supposedly politically correct Labour Party. The Labour party of the election winner Tony Blair who always, always, always reached out to all generations. Even Gordon Brown reached out, when he thought of it. Or at least he never committed this discriminatory error.

    A NEW GENERATION?

    Who? Why? What? His predecessors as party leaders are not exactly doddering old codgers lounging around in their armchairs. On second thoughts, Mili-E has probably got them turning in their graves over this. I can but hope so, and expect to see them rise again soon to haunt the whippersnapper.

    Tony Blair was actually all of FIVE months older than Ed Miliband is today when the former first became party leader. I never once heard him referring to his party as a “New Generation”. HIS New Labour party was for ALL generations.

    Of course Ed might have had an alternative target in view. He might have been suggesting that big brother David is actually past it. After all he’s all of FORTY FIVE, FGS!

    To be honest,  I don’t think I’ve heard a worse speech for positioning, repetition, or deviation. A touch of hesitation before speaking would have been useful.  But thinking, clearly, wasn’t in LITTLE MILI’S script. As wasn’t any positive reference to those new OLD Labourites who aren’t exactly of the younger generation. Those who incidentally can be relied upon to turn out to vote; those who make up the bulk of every political party’s membership and activists. Those over 50, even over 60.

    This speech was nothing less than disgraceful. Miliband D should be demanding a recount on that election business the Unions rigged the other day.

    O’Grady also says in his “Miliband’s ‘new generation’ cobblers” -

    Imagine if Ed Miliband had got up in his leader’s speech and said “let the message go out that the whites are in charge now” or “the torch has passed, and it’s us blokes who’ll be running this show from now on. Goodbye, ladies”.

    It is AGEISM cobblers. And if the Labour party had a scintilla of honour at least ONE of those interviewed by the broadcasters and news journalists would have pointed this out.

    FIFTEEN TIMES HE SAID “NEW GENERATION”.

    Why? Who does he think he is? Does the 40-year-old Miliband, who has been around in politics for more than 20 years think he is fresh out of high school? Untarnished by the slings and arrows? Innocent by his own dis-association? Does he think he is Pitt the Younger? If so, he should read up. Even today Ed Miliband is 16 years older than that particular PM was when he took power. Judging by this astonishingly bad effort today Mili-Ed will be 140 before he gets anywhere near sufficiently mature to run a country.

    I suggest Ed M. needs to be reported to the Equal Opportunities Commission and asked to explain himself and then apologise to the public of ALL ages. It is not in the interests of democracy that a political leader tries to instil in the public the notion that age should make any difference to one’s human or political value.

    And this moan of mine is before I get to lambast him over his Iraq betrayal.

    WE WERE WRONG RIGHT ABOUT IRAQ

    It was most instructive that the camera was on David Miliband, Alistair Darling and Andy Burnham as Mili-E said “we were wrong about Iraq”. NOT one of them joined the audience’s applause. Alan Johnson was behind them. His hands could not be seen but there was no movement suggestive of applause.

    Mili-E: “Iraq was an issue that divided our party and our country. Many sincerely believed that the world faced a real threat. I criticise nobody faced with making the toughest of decisions and I honour our troops who fought and died there. But I do believe that we were wrong. Wrong to take Britain to war and we need to be honest about that.”

    They were wrong to allow you, Mili-E to take over their party. We need to be honest about that.

    Jack Straw said in a broadcast interview that he disagreed with Ed M on Iraq, saying that decisions have to be taken prospectively, without the benefit of hindsight.

    With the benefit of hindsight a LOT of things would be different today. Very different.

    JUST SO YOU KNOW

    The Sun’s Trevor Kavanagh said at the end of PM tonight that he “knew” that David Miliband would announce that he would not serve in Mili-E’s shadow cabinet. I suppose he’s realised that at 45 he’s far too old.
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    Recent comments:
    “Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”
    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”
    AND – I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”

    1. Waugh – Ed M came 2nd to David M in EVERY LONDON seat; 2. Twits and Twitterers

    September 27, 2010
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    27th September 2010

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    Paul Waugh: “By my rough count, Ed came first only in 62 seats out of 650 across the whole of the UK. So David won a massive 90.5 per cent of the CLPs. [...] It’s not just that Ed Miliband did badly in London and the South – he did disastrously in terms of winning a majority of CLP votes. In London, for example, David Miliband came first in every single one of the capital’s 73 seats. Yes, you read that correctly, every single one.”

    Interesting breakdown from Paul Waugh at the Standard, tweeted by him here. [List of political twits here]

    Normally I’m not too keen on this Waugh fella. Can’t imagine why. Must be my visceral revulsion towards journos who stoke up Blair Rage. Waugh is one of them, even if fellow Blair Rage fighter John Rentoul seems to quite like him.

    But since Mr Waugh has spent some time earning his bread today instead of his usual opining, and has this breakdown of the Ed Vs David support, he deserves a positive mention here. [Copied as is at the Standard]


    27 September 2010 3:30 PM

    Ed’s Southern Discomfort

    Giles Radice recently updated his landmark “Southern Discomfort” pamphlet with a clear warning that the problem was as acute as ever for Labour.

    The constituency party breakdown of the leadership election has now underlined that in dramatic fashion.

    I’ve just gone through the details of the figures to compile a regional breakdown (it’s a brain-ache to do because CLPs are listed alphabetically, but hey that’s what I’m here for dear reader).

    Anyway, the ranking of first preferences of Labour members should certainly make sobering reading for Team Mili-E.

    It’s not just that Ed Miliband did badly in London and the South – he did disastrously in terms of winning a majority of CLP votes.

    In London, for example, David Miliband came first in every single one of the capital’s 73 seats. Yes, you read that correctly, every single one.

    This matters because London* has the biggest local parties in the country, with many having more than 800 members and some topping the 1,000 mark. This is why Ken Livingstone and Oona King and others did so well in the NEC elections.

    There was the odd neck-and-neck race (such as Sadiq Khan’s Tooting, where David won by 200 votes to 186 in enemy territory). Yet in many places, David won by comfortable margins. In some seatofs, he won double or three times as many votes as his brother.

    It gets worse. In the South outside London (and by that I mean from the Severn to the Wash), Ed Miliband came first in just seven CLPs.

    These isolated islands of EMilism were Central Devon, Oxford East, Poole, Romsey, South Cambs, Southampton Test, Tiverton and Honiton. Only two are Labour seats (Oxf E and Sthmpton Itchen) and the rest are not exactly Labour targets.

    By my rough count, Ed came first only in 62 seats out of 650 across the whole of the UK. So David won a massive 90.5 per cent of the CLPs.

    The new leader’s support came in traditional heartlands, winning a majority of first prefs in 23 Scots seats, 6 Welsh seats, 15 Yorkshire seats, as well as a sprinkling in Derbyshire, Lancs and the Midlands

    I note that among the Scots CLPs to give Ed the lead are Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath (prop. one G. Brown), and Livingston (former prop. R. Cook).

    So, in a large swathe English seats needed to win an election, Ed Miliband was not seen as the best man to become the next Prime Minister – even within his own party.

    The party membership will inevitably rally round him despite all that, but it’s not exactly a flying start. Southern Discomfort is back with a vengeance.

    *FOOTNOTE: London also gave a strong showing for Diane Abbott, with many parties putting her in third place for first prefs ahead of Balls and Burnham.

    Another interesting fact is that the CLP breakdown shows just how many MPs went against the wishes of their local party in backing certain candidates. But that’s for another day, I suspect.


    A starter list of political twits

    Tweetminster has all or most things political here, such as:

    Very popular at Tweetminster is Westminster Wire. For all the nosey twits.

    And mine? This, of course – http://twitter.com/blairsupporter

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    Recent comments:

    “Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”

    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”



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    Flowers of condolence for Tony Blair, the bereaved father of New Labour

    September 27, 2010
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    27th September, 2010

    Following on from our chat at Julie’s here, I’m thinking of sending this bunch of wilted roses to Tony Blair:

    With this condolence card -

    New Labour: Murdered by persons well-known

    _______________

    RELATED

    Miliband Junior will bury Blair’s New Labour “era” – Over, might I suggest, quite a few dead bodies? Including, perhaps, that of his own dearly beloved brother, David.

    This isn’t over yet.

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    _______________

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    Recent comments:

    “Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”

    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – ““I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”

    New Labour in a museum = Old Labour in the wilderness

    September 27, 2010
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    27th September, 2010

    Julie has updated the RIP tombstone picture I used the other day. Below follows a cross-post of her post.

    Watching the conference delegates for the five minutes I could stand it on the box this morning, I noticed that Labour party members somehow look more comfortable in opposition. Back where they belong? In the complaints corner?

    Well, in my humble opinion, for what it’s worth, they’re likely to remain there for many years, dancing like loons on the grave of their most successful period and leader, EVER. That’s ever, EVER.

    And they say admirers of Tony Blair are deranged!



    OLD LABOUR’S RESURRECTION

    Yesterday, the Labour Party essentially hammered the nails into New Labour’s coffin.  After over a decade in power and Tony Blair’s record breaking three election victories, Labour ultimately failed to embrace modern, progressive politics and withdrew into its comfortable, leftish home.

    The party had the existential choice between going backwards to the tribal, reactionary, ideologically indoctrinated pre- Blair era or forward to a progressive, centre-oriented post-Blair era.

    It was a close race. But eventually their leftist hearts won over their struggling minds and the party resumed its tradition of choosing the wrong leader at the wrong time.

    Many within Labour believe Ed Miliband, the state educated son of a Marxist, is a safe pair of hands. But ‘Red Ed’, so his new nickname, will quickly turn into an electoral liability rather than an asset.

    He’s now widely perceived as the unions’ King. He won because four of the biggest unions, GMB, UCATT, Unison, and UNITE, gave him their strong support. His decision to make Diane Holland, Assistant General Secretary of the Unite Union, Labour’s new Treasurer and his firm Brownite credentials will hardly weaken that assumption.

    What is striking however is that it his older brother, David, had the majority among Labour MPs. He also scored considerably higher in the constituency- by- constituency results. The majority of CLPs throughout Scotland, Wales, and England gave him their votes. Additionally, he won every constituency in London and the support of the non-trade union affiliated organisations, such as the Fabians.

    This paradox shows not only that the party’s electoral system is ridiculously grotesque but also that Labour is out of touch with the common people.

    Ed Miliband may perfectly appeal to Labour’s traditional voting base. The middle class, the centre, the group of those who so easily identified with the likes of Tony Blair however inhabit a very different set of social circumstances.

    Elections are no longer won on the left or the right, but in the centre.  David Cameron’s Conservative Party had to learn that bitter truth the hard way, after three disastrous election defeats.

    After over a decade in power, Labour is now where it started its journey thirteen years ago. Tony Blair’s New Labour, the movement that made Labour electable again after eighteen years in opposition, was apparently no more than a passing phase. It was buried by a party that after all refused to modernise.

    During his election campaign, Ed Miliband tried in an absurd and pathetic way to distance himself from Blairism and New Labour’s legacy, the most successful social political creation of peace time Europe.

    Labour will pay a high price for its ignorance and ingratitude. One can only hope that the upcoming long and painful years in opposition will heal the party from its toxic Blair Displacement Syndrome.



    David Miliband spoke to conference today for only around 15 minutes. Seems he is still considering his future. This is from Andrew Sparrow’s rolling update:

    10.44am: David Miliband is addressing the conference now. He says he will only be saying a few words. On his computer there is a file marked Saturday version 7, and another for Tuesday, he says. So he has some material to draw upon. But he will not be giving those speeches.

    Miliband says Labour has a “great new leader” and that the party has to get behind him. He is “incredibly proud of his brother”, he says. Ed is “special person” to him. Now he is a “special person” to the Labour party. The party has to make him a “special person” to the British people.

    Miliband says you do not enter a contest unless you want to win. But, equally, you should not enter unless you are reconciled to the prospect of losing. So, don’t worry, he says. “I will be fine.”

    _____

    A couple of quotes from Sparrow’s reports on the conference yesterday:

    • John Prescott has failed in his bid to become Labour’s treasurer, the party confirmed. Like David Miliband, he was beaten by the votes of union members. They voted overwhelmingly for Diana Holland, a senior Unite official. Prescott beat Holland in the members’ section of the electoral college, but Holland won overall because she got virtually all the votes in the union section.

    • Paul Kenny, the GMB general secretary, said New Labour should be “stuck in a museum for the future”. He was welcoming Ed Miliband’s declaration that the era of New Labour is over. (See 2.45pm)

    So there we have it. Even Prescott is not seen as left enough for the wallies.

    Read today’s rolling update from Labour’s conference here.

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    Recent comments:

    “Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”

    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”



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    Nick Cohen: review of Blair’s “A Journey” and why it won’t persuade the blind

    September 26, 2010
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    26th September 2010

    Click to Buy Tony Blair’s ‘A Journey’

    Nick Cohen has an excellent article here of, it says, Tony Blair’s “A Journey”. [I take issue with only two elements of this, indented below in red, on Iraq and the banking crisis, for the reasons I give.]

    Mr Cohen’s article is not so much a review of A Journey as a review of why Blair’s journey means nothing to his enemies.

    The most successful Labour PM EVER seems condemned to a life as a pariah within his own land by littlies; creatures  with the political nous and intellect of gnats.

    So who ARE these insects, fellow-travellers all?

    Those of the mindset of the mad alliance of haters aka social liberals and their press; aka three-times beaten Conservatives and their press; aka extremist, lying bigots of the Left and Right; aka civil libertarians who turn a blind eye to Blair’s lack of FREEDOM of association; aka deniers who refuse to recognise any threat from Islamism, fundamental or otherwise. They are even to be found in numbers within his own political party. A party whose new leader – HAH! – leader? – disowns Iraq. He insists he was against it even if not an MP at the time to show us the true, argued colour of his vote. So easy to say. So easy, Mr Minor Miliband.

    And so from all quarters pours blind, destructive idiocy. My words, not Cohen’s. In case Mr Cohen agrees anyway, I’ll repeat them -

    BLIND, DESTRUCTIVE IDIOCY (ON TONY BLAIR & HIS MEMOIRS)

    I hope Mr Cohen will have no objection to my using his post in its entirety below. [I can't find it at The Australian, btw. Perhaps it was all too much for those down under to cope with too.]

    My bolding below: I could embolden most of it, but will try to limit my anti Blair rage.



    Review: Tony Blair: A Journey

    From the Australian
    By Nick Cohen

    EARLIER this month a small and sinister act of intimidation took place in central London. Tony Blair was due to sign copies of his autobiography at the Waterstone’s bookstore in Piccadilly. In the normal way of things, readers would have shaken his hand and bought an autographed copy to show their friends. Blair’s readers could not meet him, however. Fear of violence stopped the book-reading public going to a shop to meet the man many of them had helped elect as prime minister.

    The Stop the War Coalition had promised a demonstration. For good measure members of the neo-Nazi British National Party had promised to come along for a protest of their own. If a previous Stop the War fracas at a Blair book signing in Dublin was a guide, it would have turned nasty. The alliance of white far-leftists and Islamist clerical fascists, who had come together in an echo of the Hitler-Stalin pact, was delighted. Blair was becoming “a pariah the world over”, it crowed. He “cannot go anywhere near the general public without there being protests and attempts to make a citizen’s arrest”.

    To have believers in the one-party Marxist state, the one-religion Islamist caliphate and the one-race ethnically cleansed nation as your enemies is a badge of honour any politician should be proud to wear. Unfortunately for Blair, his enemies are not confined to the thuggish fringe. The mainstream repeats the conspiracy theories of the fascists and the Trotskyists so faithfully it is hard to tell who is following whom; whether the extremists’ ideas have taken over the mainstream or whether the extreme is an exaggerated image of the furies of the liberal centre, like a disfigured reflection in a fairground mirror. With the left and right-wing newspapers, as with the far-left and far-right parties, differences between supposed political opposites have broken down. When a generous Blair announced that he would give the proceeds from A Journey to the British Legion, a charity that looked after injured soldiers, the Labour-supporting Daily Mirror ran this headline: “Tony Blair should amputate a limb and give that to the British Legion.” This miserable thought might have appeared just as easily in the conservative press. On the day he released the book, the right-wing Daily Mail had the headline “Crocodile tears – and STILL no apology: Tony Blair’s memoirs go on sale pushing his self-serving justification of the Iraq war”. The liberal press said much the same.

    Throughout his career, Blair has made the BBC forget its obligation to impartiality. It was so exalted when he ended 18 years of Tory rule in 1997, its “corridors were strewn with empty champagne bottles”, as one presenter said. How long ago all that seems. Having treated Blair with an adulation no leader in a supposedly commonsensical democracy deserves, the BBC compounded the offence and further compromised its principles by turning on him with demented bitterness. I lost my respect for it when I sat in its studios and watched senior presenters, driven half-mad by Iraq, tear up every rule in the book to rig debates and bias programs.

    Britain is now in an absurd position where to go on air and say a good word about a well-mannered, centrist politician, who won three elections, is to make a daringly transgressive statement. I do not want to do my country down in an Australian paper, so I will be as polite as I can be in the circumstances. The case of Tony Blair has shown its cultural and media grandees to be parochial, unprincipled, vindictive and stultifying conformist. They have allowed their self-righteous hatreds to push them into adopting the arguments of every totalitarian fanatic and psychotic bomb-maker on the planet. If your family came from Britain, and you are thinking of returning to your ancestral home, I really would not bother.

    Journalists, artists and broadcasters do not weigh the pros and cons of Blair’s decision to commit Britain to the removal of Saddam Hussein, they do not discuss the pros at all. They have wiped from their memories what knowledge they had of the Baathist genocide of the Kurds in 1988, the deaths of one million in Saddam’s unprovoked attack on Iran, the 75,000 who died after his unprovoked invasion of Kuwait, the 50,000 who died after he suppressed the Shia uprising in 1991, the daily terror the Baath inflicted on Iraq for decades and the disease and malnutrition Saddam’s hoarding of the proceeds of the oil-for-food program bought. The fact Shia and Sunni representatives of the most racist, misogynist and homophobic movement the world has seen since Nazism have slaughtered Iraqis since 2003 counts for nothing, too.

    The horror is Blair’s fault.

    The consensus in Britain is that he is a blood-soaked murderer, a liar who tricked Britain into an “illegal” war at the behest of George W. Bush, who was himself a puppet of what they euphemistically call the Israeli lobby. Instead of showing remorse, the greedy charlatan grows rich with fees and directorships from US firms while the men he sent into battle are killed and maimed.

    To put it another way, Blair has a lot of convincing to do with this book.

    For all the accusations of spin and artifice thrown at him, A Journey is unquestionably Blair speaking in his own voice. A competent ghostwriter could never have written this. Platitudes abound. No cliche is left behind. Sentences begin reasonably, then run out of control, as if they were cars with slashed brake cables. As the title suggests, Blair wants to show readers what it was like for an inexperienced opposition politician to move to the centre of world affairs. He talks about his fear when he became prime minister, and how he worried that he and the British Labour Party would not be up to the job. He admits blunders and describes how he manipulated opinion to achieve worthy goals. Every politician goes through what Blair went through, but few have given us such a candid description of self-doubt. All refreshingly honest, you may think, until he describes how the jetsetting life of a statesman “played havoc” with his bowels. “You need to eat healthily and with discipline” to cope, he confides.

    I am very typically British. I like to have time and comfort in the loo. The bathroom is an important room, and I couldn’t live in a culture that doesn’t respect it. Anyway, that is probably more than you ever wanted to know.

    So it is, but sophisticated readers should not forget that the candour and the clumsiness are parts of the explanation of why Blair was such a success. Blair thrived in the lowbrow modern world. He loved it and, more to the point, respected it. Although he came to Downing Street from the upper-middle class leftish suburb of Islington – think Sydney’s Paddington but with more art-house movies – he was not of it. Long before September 11, I and many others had come to despise him. We loathed his populism, hated how he pandered to the tabloid press with ever-harsher measures against criminals and asylum-seekers. We thought that it was just a cheap deceit to win votes. We did not feel better when he realised that he was sincere. British Labour people are not like their comrades in Australia. There is no British equivalent of Kevin Rudd or Bill Hayden. The British Left does not depose leaders who look like losers, it loves them. Until recently, its most revered figure was Michael Foot, who led Labour to one of its most crushing defeats. By contrast, we suspect that winners will sell us out. This book tell us what we already learned the hard way: Blair was as keen on selling out the policies of the old Labour Party as he was on trampling on the delicate sensibilities of intellectuals.

    The opening chapters describe what he calls “the project” to modernise Labour. I suspect Australian politicians will read and learn from them because, as a professional who could work an electorate, Blair was a maestro. His management of government was another matter. For years, the titanic feud between Blair and his chancellor Gordon Brown hobbled British domestic policy. Blair did not do what any self-respecting Australian Labor politician would have done, and stuck the knife deep into Brown’s back, but allowed hostile briefings and tantrums to dominate government.

    His account of the soap opera is entertaining. But inevitably his story of the consequences of September 11 dominates the book and will ensure that A Journey is read by millions, whatever the critics say.

    Blair gives a crisp and compelling analysis of the depths of the problems the world faces. Militant Islam is not all of Islam, he insists, and, of course, he is right. But he explains with surprising shrewdness how elements of Islamist ideology capture millions who do not follow its murderous tenets. Just as mainstream liberals, who think themselves moderate men and women, echo the screaming hatreds of the totalitarian demonstrators who would stop the public going to London bookshops, so notions of a war against Islam infect otherwise sane Muslims. In his chapters on Iraq, he makes a point Western commentators hardly ever mention. In Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan, the extremists have a further advantage. They will willingly slaughter any of their countrymen and women who hope for something better than theocratic tyranny, along with any and all innocent bystanders who happen to be near them.

    Blair’s chat-show chumminess falls away at these moments. He is no longer the grinning celebrity on the sofa but an urgent advocate of the need to fight radical Islamism with the inspiration and moral commitment we brought to the struggles against fascism and communism.

    Will his eloquence justify the conduct of the Iraq war? It cannot for two reasons. Even as someone who went from loathing to respecting Blair because of Iraq – a rare political journey, I grant you – I cannot accept his dismissal of the chaos that enveloped Iraq after the invasion. As he says, it was brought by al-Qa’ida and Iranian-backed militias who were desperate for liberation to fail. But his explanation for the failure of the US, Britain, Australia and their allies to foresee the danger is too brusque. He says in effect, “If someone had warned us, we would have acted differently.”

    His tone is the same when he briefly mentions the banking crisis. “Had regulators said that a crisis is about to break … we would have acted. But they didn’t say that.”

    It is not good enough. Elected leaders, not regulators or generals, govern democracies because the best of them sense crises before they break. In his foreign policy and in his economic policy Blair did not stop to think about unforeseen events preventing Iraq’s transition to democracy or blowing a hole in his booming bubble economy. He did not prepare for the worst. Indeed, he could not bring himself to imagine the worst.

    [Here, on the post-war chaos in Iraq I beg to differ with Mr Cohen. Blair was NOT the senior partner. His was not the decision to make as to handling the postwar situation. And two,  on the banking crisis - his were NOT the decisions to take. Gordon Brown famously refused to let Tony Blair see budgets until the last moment, far less listen to him if he thought a brake was required on any part of economy. Apart from that, the banking crisis was hardly all Brown's fault. The banking crisis in Britain resulted from high-risk mortgage decisions in the USA, and its repercussions here, largely due to globalisation. Few countries escaped.]

    The second reason he will never convince his enemies is that they already have an explanation for the horrors and repression he fought against neatly tied up and ready to deliver whenever the need arises. It is the West’s fault, they say. If bombs explode in European cities, or teachers are murdered in Afghanistan for showing girls how to read and write, if Shia Muslims are slaughtered in Pakistan, or Iraq finds that the 35-year hell of Baath fascism is replaced by the fresh hell of Shia and Sunni religious fascism, those who do the killing are not to blame. Foreign policy promulgated by Blair and Bush is the “root cause” of the world’s travails instead.

    They will train their sights on Blair however well he writes. Perhaps one day some will realise that, like the guns at Singapore, their artillery is pointing in the wrong direction.

    Nick Cohen is a columnist on the London Observer. His most recent book is What’s Left? How Liberals Lost their Way.



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    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”



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    Ed Miliband Leader of Labour. Is that 10, 15 or 20 more wilderness years?

    September 25, 2010
  • Original Home Page – And another very early post from this blog
  • Current Latest Page
  • All Contents of Site – Index
  • Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here
  • Comment at end

    25th September 2010

    Click to Buy Tony Blair’s ‘A Journey’

    BIG, BIG, BIG MISTAKE

    By a margin of only 1.3% and purely because of the Trades Unions’ support, Ed the Younger Miliband has beaten his brother David and won the Labour Party leadership.

    Ed Miliband (right) hugs his brother David after narrowly beating him in the race for the Labour leadership. Photo: GETTY

    So that’s it then.

    The Trade Unions, as members and as unions (their system gives them multiple votes) have finally killed Blair’s New Labour.

    Back to the wilderness.

    Enjoy it, Labour. You deserve it.

    WRONG DATE ABOVE, of course. It was never just one bitter pill, one policy issue that killed New Labour. New Labour’s death was slow and painful, starting from the date Tony Blair received his marching orders and a short prognosis from such as Gordon Brown and Ed Balls in September 2006.

    But today, with the election of Ed Miliband ONLY due to Trades Union support,  the final nail has been banged into the coffin.

    RELATED  – Nov 2008: Brown – End of New Labour? Higher income tax for the better off?

    _______________

    Telegraph report -

    Ed Miliband won with 50.65 per cent of the vote against David’s 49.35 per cent in the final round of voting.

    There were jubilant scenes among Ed’s supporters when the announcement was made in Manchester at 4.50pm on Saturday.

    Ed Miliband

    Ed Miliband Photo: GETTY
    The battle between the Miliband brothers has been political and personal

    David Miliband, left and his brother Ed Photo: Getty
    Ed Miliband wins Labour leadership race

    Ed Miliband Photo: PA

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    Click to Buy Tony Blair’s ‘A Journey’

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    Recent comments:

    “Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”

    AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”

    AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”



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