Calling Peter Kellner – Where’s the missing YouGov poll. Still lost?

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    21st January 2010

    I know you’re disappointed.

    Yes, my search at the Sunday Times and at YouGov for the opinion poll on Iraq and Tony Blair has come up with nothing online. It was commissioned by the Sunday Times last week, but it has failed to show its face or numbers anywhere in original detailed form.  So,  to cheer you up, while we try to find it, I thought I’d just let you have a look at some of the polls taken around the start of the Iraq war, March 2003.

    This might be a bit of help to a couple of jokers who visited my recent post on the report of the invisible poll on Iraq/war crimes/Blair/lies/trial/you know the rest. These poor guys couldn’t quite work out why 23 + 77 tends to equal 100. Nor could they understand that the non publication of the invisible Sunday Times poll meant we couldn’t actually analyse the ifs and buts and maybes, or even spot if there were any.

    YouGov used to be so careful under its dependable president Peter Kellner.  He mustn’t let things slip just because he’s busy these days as his wife Kathy Ashton, the new High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy regales him with tales of the fun and games her new big job entails.

    YouGov OPINION POLLS

    INVADING IRAQ

    From the YouGov polls archives – 13 Jan 2003 to 15 June 2007.

    A look back at polls from around the time of the start of the Iraq invasion, 2003.  Three samples from three of the polls. I’ll highlight the interesting numbers.

    1. Prepared for Daily Telegraph and ITN, 18 March 2003.  Sample size 1003

    1. Do you think the United States and Britain are right or wrong to take military action against Iraq (unless Saddam leaves the country)?  – Right 50/ Wrong 42 / Don’t know 8
    2. Do you think George Bush’s handling of the Iraq crisis as a whole so far has been… Excellent 7/Good 31/Poor 30/Very poor 29/Don’t know 3
    3. Do you think Tony Blair’s handling of the Iraq crisis as a whole so far has been… Excellent 11/Good 36/Poor 31/Very poor 21/Don’t know 1
    4. In his handling of the crisis, do you think Mr Blair has been motivated mainly…? By his genuine belief that Saddam Hussein is dangerous and must be disarmed – 51/ By his desire to keep in with the United States  – 44/ Don’t know  -5
    5. Do you think President Chirac was right or wrong to say that France would veto any UN resolution that triggered the use of force if Saddam Hussein failed to disarm? – Right 21/ Wrong 68/Don’t know 11
    6. Which of these do you blame most for the failure of the members of the Security Council to work together to deal with the Iraq crisis?  Britain’s Prime Minister, Tony Blair 2/America’s President, George Bush 35/France’s President, Jacques Chirac 50/ Don’t know 12
    7. How much confidence do you now have in the UN’s ability to deal with major international disputes? A great deal 6 / Some 32 /Not very much 48/ None at all 13/ Don’t know 1
    8. How much do you trust Tony Blair to take the right decisions from now on about military action in Iraq? – Trust a great deal 18/ Trust a fair amount 37/Do not trust very much 27/Do not trust at all 7/Don’t know 1

    YouGov Survey Results
    Iraq War Tracker
    Prepared for Daily Telegraph and ITN
    1 of 3 © 2003 YouGov Ltd. All Rights Reserved http://www.YouGov.com

    More of above poll here


    2. Prepared for Daily Telegraph and ITV News, 20 March 2003,  Sample size 1018

    1. Do you think the United States and Britain are right or wrong to take military action against Iraq? – Right 53/Wrong 39/Don’t know 8
    2. Do you think George Bush’s handling of the Iraq crisis as a whole so far has been… Excellent 7/Good 31/Poor 32/Very poor 27/Don’t know 3
    3. Do you think Tony Blair’s handling of the Iraq crisis as a whole so far has been… Excellent 14/Good 33/Poor 30/Very poor 20/Don’t know 2
    4. Do you think the US was right or wrong to launch an attack early this morning aimed specifically at killing Saddam Hussein? Right 65/Wrong 26/Don’t know 9
    5. Would you be pleased or sorry if you heard that Saddam had been killed? Pleased 83/Sorry 3/Don’t know 13
    6. Which of these best describes your reaction to the news that the war has begun? I am delighted 7/I am relieved 45/I am angry 29/Don’t know 18
    7. How worried are you about the war and its possible consequences? Very worried 28/Fairly worried 47/Not very worried 19/Not at all worried 5/Don’t know 0
    8. Do you think Iain Duncan Smith’s statements and actions on the Iraq crisis as a whole so far have been… Excellent 10/Good 40/Poor 20/Very poor 10/Don’t know 21

    YouGov Survey Results
    Iraq War Tracker
    Prepared for Daily Telegraph and ITV News
    1 of 3 © 2003 YouGov Ltd. All Rights Reserved http://www.YouGov.com

    M0re of above poll here.


    3. Prepared for Sunday Times, 21st – 22nd March 2003, Sample Size = 21163

    1. Do you think the United States and Britain are right or wrong to take military action against Iraq? – Right 56/Wrong 36/Don’t know 9
    2. Which of these do you think is George Bush’s main reason for going to war against Iraq? – Revenge for September 11 29/ Oil 22/Ridding the world of weapons of mass destruction 34/ None of these 11/Don’t know 4
    3. From what you have seen and read so far, which do you expect? – A short war with few casualties on either side 31/A short war but with heavy Iraqi casualties, including many civilians 39/A long war, with significant casualties on both sides 19/None of these 4/Don’t know 6
    4. Do you think the world will be a safer or less safe place after this war? – Safer 45/Less safe 35/Don’t know 21
    5. Do you believe Tony Blair when he promises to help rebuild Iraq for its people after the war? – Do believe 72/Do not believe 19/Don’t know 10
    6. Do you believe George Bush when he promises to help rebuild Iraq for its people after the war? – Do believe 51/Do not believe 35/Don’t know 14
    7. Do you believe Tony Blair when he promises to push for peace between Israel and Palestine after the war? – Do believe 68/ Do not believe 18/ Don’t know 14
    8. Do you believe George Bush when he promises to push for peace between Israel and Palestine after the war? – Do believe 41/Do not believe 39/Don’t know 20

    YouGov Survey Results
    The War In Iraq
    Prepared for Sunday Times
    1 of 2 © 2003 YouGov Ltd. All Rights Reserved

    More of above poll here.


    Trend of support for Iraq war from March 18th 2003 to June 2007




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    2 Responses to “Calling Peter Kellner – Where’s the missing YouGov poll. Still lost?”

    1. Poll: Yes, 77% DO NOT THINK Tony Blair should be tried for “war crimes” « Tony Blair Says:

      […] Tony Blair « Calling Peter Kellner – Where’s the missing YouGov poll. Still lost? […]

    2. Everybody hates Tony « A Forlorn Hope Says:

      […] No doubt Iraq was the cause of this solid body of dislike, but it came during the build-up to the war and was only confirmed by the growing evidence of Blair’s misleading of the public (and it was not unprecedented). Today, poll questions on the evidence for a rightness of war are phrased to acknowledge the dodgy grounds for war.  Even at the time a narrow majority of people felt that Blair was handling the situation badly (see stats quoted in this amusing attempt to show how great Blair was). […]

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