27th September 2010
Paul Waugh: “By my rough count, Ed came first only in 62 seats out of 650 across the whole of the UK. So David won a massive 90.5 per cent of the CLPs. […] It’s not just that Ed Miliband did badly in London and the South – he did disastrously in terms of winning a majority of CLP votes. In London, for example, David Miliband came first in every single one of the capital’s 73 seats. Yes, you read that correctly, every single one.”
Normally I’m not too keen on this Waugh fella. Can’t imagine why. Must be my visceral revulsion towards journos who stoke up Blair Rage. Waugh is one of them, even if fellow Blair Rage fighter John Rentoul seems to quite like him.
But since Mr Waugh has spent some time earning his bread today instead of his usual opining, and has this breakdown of the Ed Vs David support, he deserves a positive mention here. [Copied as is at the Standard]
27 September 2010 3:30 PM
Giles Radice recently updated his landmark “Southern Discomfort” pamphlet with a clear warning that the problem was as acute as ever for Labour.
The constituency party breakdown of the leadership election has now underlined that in dramatic fashion.
I’ve just gone through the details of the figures to compile a regional breakdown (it’s a brain-ache to do because CLPs are listed alphabetically, but hey that’s what I’m here for dear reader).
Anyway, the ranking of first preferences of Labour members should certainly make sobering reading for Team Mili-E.
It’s not just that Ed Miliband did badly in London and the South – he did disastrously in terms of winning a majority of CLP votes.
In London, for example, David Miliband came first in every single one of the capital’s 73 seats. Yes, you read that correctly, every single one.
This matters because London* has the biggest local parties in the country, with many having more than 800 members and some topping the 1,000 mark. This is why Ken Livingstone and Oona King and others did so well in the NEC elections.
There was the odd neck-and-neck race (such as Sadiq Khan’s Tooting, where David won by 200 votes to 186 in enemy territory). Yet in many places, David won by comfortable margins. In some seatofs, he won double or three times as many votes as his brother.
It gets worse. In the South outside London (and by that I mean from the Severn to the Wash), Ed Miliband came first in just seven CLPs.
These isolated islands of EMilism were Central Devon, Oxford East, Poole, Romsey, South Cambs, Southampton Test, Tiverton and Honiton. Only two are Labour seats (Oxf E and Sthmpton Itchen) and the rest are not exactly Labour targets.
By my rough count, Ed came first only in 62 seats out of 650 across the whole of the UK. So David won a massive 90.5 per cent of the CLPs.
The new leader’s support came in traditional heartlands, winning a majority of first prefs in 23 Scots seats, 6 Welsh seats, 15 Yorkshire seats, as well as a sprinkling in Derbyshire, Lancs and the Midlands
I note that among the Scots CLPs to give Ed the lead are Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath (prop. one G. Brown), and Livingston (former prop. R. Cook).
So, in a large swathe English seats needed to win an election, Ed Miliband was not seen as the best man to become the next Prime Minister – even within his own party.
The party membership will inevitably rally round him despite all that, but it’s not exactly a flying start. Southern Discomfort is back with a vengeance.
*FOOTNOTE: London also gave a strong showing for Diane Abbott, with many parties putting her in third place for first prefs ahead of Balls and Burnham.
Another interesting fact is that the CLP breakdown shows just how many MPs went against the wishes of their local party in backing certain candidates. But that’s for another day, I suspect.
A starter list of political twits
Very popular at Tweetminster is Westminster Wire. For all the nosey twits.
And mine? This, of course – http://twitter.com/blairsupporter
- David Miliband remains undecided about his future in the Labour Party (telegraph.co.uk)
- Ed Miliband pledges to lead Labour from the front – but will David follow? (guardian.co.uk)
- David Miliband refuses to be drawn on plans for the future (guardian.co.uk)
- David Miliband: Will he stay in politics? (bbc.co.uk)
- Three challenges for Ed Miliband (leftfootforward.org)
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Tags: CLP David first every time, constituency Labour party, David Miliband, Diane Abbott, Ed Miliband, Ken Livingstone, labour, London, Oona King, political twitters, politics, prime minister, Tony Blair, tweeters