5th October 2010
“In a recent mingle Trend survey we asked the British public which Miliband brother would be best suited to the job of Labour leader.”
It’s only a small poll of 500 people, taken over the period 30th September to yesterday 4th October. But still, partly because of the easy-to-view nature of the results for gender/age group/parts of the country the accompanying pie-charts at Mingle-Trend are quite intriguing. The poll shows no definite support for Ed Miliband in the UK.
These are some samples of the results, sub-divided under three headings: Ed Miliband – David Miliband – Don’t Know.
EdM – DM – Don’t Know
Total : 20% – 29% – 51%
18 – 19: 42% 16% 42%
20 – 29: 20 27 53%
40-49: 13 31 56%
- Every age group of 40+ preferred David. And only 18-19 year-olds preferred Ed.
- In the over 50s group they were more likely to KNOW, than not to know who they wanted to win, and it wasn’t Ed. It was David by quite a margin.
But this is the most intriguing part. Broken down by parts of the UK:
EdM – DM – Don’t Know
24 27 49
13 47 40
0 33 67
From Northern Ireland
0 67 33
Yes, that does say NIL – ZERO – for Ed Miliband from Wales AND Northern Ireland.
Wales, the land of Neil Kinnock and Old Labourism (supposedly). Kinnock said on Ed’s election “we have our party back”! Pity no-one told the Welsh Labour population that that’s what Ed is all about.
And Northern Ireland? The land where David Miliband’s mentor Tony Blair secured peace after decades of turmoil. What would any of them know about leadership?
Seriously though, the explanation might be that the polling locations would likely have reflected the size of the population in the disparate parts of the UK. So, England has 83% of the 61 million, Scotland 8%, Wales 5%, Northern Ireland 2%. Fewer people would have been polled outside of England to reflect this. Though this still doesn’t explain why Ed M polled 13% in Scotland while in Wales and Northern Ireland people said – “WHO?”
The high votes for Ed M amongst 18-19 year olds might be because they swallowed – sorry – I mean were inspired by his “new generation” nonsense.
I wonder how many in this youngest age group will actually bother to vote next time round? Not as many as their more astute parents and especially grandparents, I hazard.
Mingle-Trend – article:
No definite support for Ed Miliband in the UK
- 51% of Brits undecided about Ed Miliband as new Labour leader
- 67% of participants in Northern Ireland consider David Miliband a better candidate
New generation Labour with “Red Ed”
On 25th September 2010, Ed Miliband, who always used to introduce himself as “the other brother” narrowly beat his brother David Miliband to become the next Labour leader. Ed Miliband is proclaiming that his “new generation” will take Labour back to power, and golden oldies like Lord Kinnock are rejoicing in his victory. However the election results suggest that almost half of the Labour party would have preferred David Miliband, who many would have liked to have seen replace Tony Blair in 2007.
In a recent mingle Trend survey we asked the British public which Miliband brother would be best suited to the job of Labour leader. The results demonstrated that half are not sure which Miliband brother they would have chosen. More men than women are unsure about which of the brothers should lead Labour in the opposition and the age group 40-49 years are the most undecided. As far as regional differences are concerned, the Welsh are the most irresolute about the Labour leader.
Only the 18-19 years and 30-39 years would choose Ed Miliband rather than his brother David to lead the Labour into the next phase of history. Generally the Brits would have preferred David Miliband, maybe this can be explained by the fact that he was already a minister and therefore more well-known. It is worth mentioning that 67% of the Northern Irish participants would have preferred the older brother.
Since the election, the older David Miliband has stepped down from frontline line politics and the new era of the Labour party can begin. Ed Miliband, who is known as “Red Ed” has a difficult task ahead of him, and it remains to be seen whether he really was the best suited to the job. mingle Trend will keep you posted.
Survey data base
Basic population: British population from the age of 18
Sample: 500 selected people, Survey time frame: 30.09. until 04.10
Method: Online survey, sample
And in case you wonder if REAL people and Internet users are two entirely different species – which I must admit I do, frequently, look at this – Weblogs – Ed Miliband wins online majority.
- Neil Kinnock offers new broom allegiance – and alliteration (guardian.co.uk)
- Moral boost for Ed Miliband as poll gives Labour first lead in three years (guardian.co.uk)
Sign the Ban Blair-Baiting petition here
“Mr. Blair is one of the finest politicians to have had the priviledge of serving the United Kingdom, and Britons are fortunate to have had him as their Prime Minister. Time will show that Mr. Blair’s approach to affairs in the Middle East were and remain correct. From a member of the Commonwealth, thank you, Mr. Blair, for your continued service to legitimate and lasting (and not convenient or politically expedient) freedom.”
AND – “Tony Blair was the greatest Prime Minister since Winston Churchill and the only regret I have he didn’t get my vote as I live in Canada.”
AND – “I am sick and tired of television and radio interviewers asking the same old questions over and over, regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq, presumably they hope Mr Blair will let slip some secret information which they would then use against him. History will show if the decision was the right one, (I believe it was) but people must accept that Tony Blair is a honourable man, and made his decision based on the known facts and not with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.”