Tony Blair, cutting to the chase at Jalama opening

November 10, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Comment at end

10th November, 2009

As EU leaders try to work it out if they prefer a big hitter to a yes man as their president, what is the Big Hitter doing?

What he always does – getting on with the job in hand.

TBlair opening crossing at Jalama

Quartet Middle East envoy Tony Blair (2nd L), Israeli Vice Prime Minister and Minister for Regional Cooperation Silvan Shalom (C) and Palestinian Governor of the city of Jenin Qadura Mussa (2nd R) cut the ribbon during the opening ceremony of the Jalama vehicle crossing, between the northern West Bank and Israel on November 10, 2009. Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas could resign, leading to a potential collapse of the Palestinian Authority, if US efforts to relaunch Middle East peace talks stay deadlocked, aides warn. AFP PHOTO / JACK GUEZ (Photo credit: JACK GUEZ/AFP/Getty Images)

GETTING A SLICE OF THE ACTION

Amusing how they all want to get their hands on the means of implementing the action, isn’t it? Plus ca change …

שום דבר לא משתנה בפוליטיקה

لم يتغير شيء في السياسة

גאָרנישט ענדערונגען אין פּאָליטיק

rien ne change dans la vie politique

ändert sich nichts in der Politik.

Source

Quartet Middle East envoy Tony Blair (2nd L), Israeli Vice Prime Minister and Minister for Regional Cooperation Silvan Shalom (C) and Palestinian Governor of the city of Jenin Qadura Mussa (2nd R) cut the ribbon during the opening ceremony of the Jalama vehicle crossing, between the northern West Bank and Israel on November 10, 2009. Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas could resign, leading to a potential collapse of the Palestinian Authority, if US efforts to relaunch Middle East peace talks stay deadlocked, aides warn.


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Abbas’s threat to quit not a political stunt, but born of deep frustration, says Blair

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(Transcript) – British army captain says “the soldiers support the cause in Afghanistan”

November 10, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Comment at end

10th November, 2009

Captain Tiernan: ‘Often we hear people say “yes we support the soldiers but we don’t support the cause”.  Well, the soldiers support the cause.  So if you really want to support the soldiers then we too as the public should support the cause in Afghanistan.’

On Radio 4’s ‘Today’, yesterday morning, a serving British soldier was interviewed on the slipping public support for the war in Afghanistan.

Margaret, a regular reader and commenter at this blog has kindly transcribed the interview for me.

Visit the BBC site and scroll down to 8:10 here to hear the entire interview.

Read Little Ole American’s comment here on the opening remark of John  Humprhies. (excerpt: We do NOT send our young people “to die”.)  Mr Humphries, your bias is showing.


Today interview (10 minutes):

 

John Humphries: We spend a lot of time on this programme talking to politicians  about what we’re doing in Afghanistan  and why. Quite right too. When a nation sends its young people to die in a foreign land – another one has just been killed – they must be held accountable. We spend very little time talking to the men who are sent, who risk their lives doing their duty. The men and women who know what is happening on the ground because they live there for six months at a time.  Captain Andrew Tiernan of the Grenadier Guards is one of them. He came back from Afghanistan for a bit of leave on Friday. He’ll be back there the week after next. This is his third tour of duty there in three years, and he’s with me now. Can I make it clear Captain Tiernan that you’re not here because the MOD put you up for it, it’s cos your mother suggested it.

Capt. Tiernan: Er that’s correct I travelled home and was subject to 48 hours worth of Sky and BBC news courtesy of the RAF and as I watched that news I became a little frustrated at some of the negative reporting on Afghanistan, mentioned that to mother and before I knew it I  had a phone call from the editor of your  programme.

John Humphries: Hmmm… and you say negative reporting … um … but we’re reporting what is happening, you appreciate that, I mean if five people are killed as they were horribly last week by a policeman, we have to report it.

Capt. Tiernan: Absolutely, and the tragic events of last week need to be reported and I believe were reported well. But lots of the talk subsequently about a wholesale pull-out from Afghanistan does not support the soldiers who are out there risking their lives. Often we hear people saying, “yes, we support the soldiers but we don’t support the cause “.  Well, the soldiers support the cause.  So if you really want to support the soldiers then we too as a public should support the cause in Afghanistan.

John Humphries: I suppose the reason a lot of people say that  – that we ought to pull out  – is because they don’t – we don’t understand exactly what it is you’re doing there, what the purpose of it is and when we will know whether you have achieved that purpose or not.

Capt. Tiernan: Erm… perhaps that ’s the case but I’m sure that ’s been the same on every battlefield throughout history.

John Humphries: Has it?

Capt. Tiernan: Well, er I believe so and perhaps I can use this opportunity to tell you some of the things that we are doing.

John Humphries: Please do.

Capt. Tiernan: I’m commanding a company group of some 120 soldiers comprised of two Grenadier platoons, an Afghan national army company and importantly 15 Afghan national policemen, and we are providing security to the people in a district centre in Baku centre south nearby to Lashkar Gah And the ideal that we’re building towards is  an outer ring of security provided by ISAF and the Afghan national Army…

John Humphries: ISAF being the international force, yeah?

Capt. Tiernan: That’s correct and an inner ring of security provided by the Afghan police and working alongside ISAF . We are able to keep the insurgents away from the district centre so the people in that population centre live in a way that is akin to a gated community with that security provided by us. There  is a curfew in place for instance at 21.00 hours at night so when they go to bed more often than not we’re patrolling the streets and continue to do so throughout the night. In the morning when they wake up we ‘re there again. So they close their doors at night and go to bed safe in the knowledge that ISAF and Afghan national security forces are securing …

John Humphries: I want to come back to this notion of a gated community in a moment, but when you talk about training or mentoring police for instance in that part of the world, it’s very difficult to understand how you can do that. With great respect you’re a brave, highly trained officer in the British Army but you know nothing about the kind of lives those people lead and we know are leading, I mean we know that a very large proportion of the police force are on drugs. We know that they can effectively buy their way in, they’ve only got to have a couple of friends vouch for them, senior officers pay a £100,000, $100,000 to become a senior  police officer. In those circumstances, knowing nothing about the culture of the place, knowing nothing about the tribal relationships and all the rest of it, how can you, however good you are at your job, train those people?

Capt. Tiernan: Well, how foolish would it be to go about any kind of operations in Afghanistan without being alongside the Afghan national  security forces? If we were just there on our own we’d be far less effective.  For instance the Afghan national policemen who I work with have saved the lives of my men by finding improvised explosive devices in the ground.  They  were metres away from where I ws standing but I would not have noticed them because I don’t live there. The Afghan desert to me looks pretty similar. Whereas to the policemen that live and work there and from those areas a little bit of disturbed earth which is pretty innocuous to me is telling to them. And what we are now doing in Afghanistan, er, General McChrystal’s directive towards imbedded partnering which means completely working hand in hand with Afghan national security forces…

John Humphries: Living with them ..

Capt. Tiernan: Living with them, planning with them, operating with them, his directive is one of those rare documents that is so strikingly correct that everyone that reads it from the lowest ground commanders to the most senior  military commander understands its worth, understands what it aims to do and is very happy with the strategy there.

John Humphries: So is the idea that you become entirely integrated with those forces or they with you?

Capt. Tiernan: Er… exactly we come together and work hand in hand.

John Humphries: But you live separately?

Capt. Tiernan: No, that’s one of the…

John Humphries: So you will share barracks, you will share a tent?

Capt. Tiernan: Yeah, in my area we will share an [option room?] we’ll share a planning room and our soldiers will live together.

John Humphries: Quite literally, in the sense that you’ll line up in the same line to get your food, you’ll have bunk beds next to each other, all that sort of thing?

Capt. Tiernan: Quite literally.

John Humphries: And how long does it take to establish that kind of relationship and how do you know, putting it very crudely, that you can trust them?

Capt. Tiernan: Um… well I think I am fortunate in my area in that we’re perhaps slightly ahead of the game.  I think if operation Herrick 10 was defined by Operation Panthers Claw which was clearly widely reported on, I think this…

John Humphries: In which a lot of people die.

Capt. Tiernan: Indeed, but I think this operation, Operation Herrik 11 will be defined by a move towards embedded partnering, and in my area where geographically the lay down of forces goographically, the willingness of the local people and the quality of the Afghan national security forces that are under my command means that we’re ready now to do embedded partnering  and I expect us to one of the first areas of operations in Helmand to be fully embedded.

John Humphries: But if what you’re doing, if the purpose of this is to establish as you put it gated communities one does  have to wonder about how long it can go on. You can’t forever protect a group of Afghan people, however a noble that job may be, that isn’t what British forces are meant to be doing, is it? You’re meant if you can to be bringing peace to that part of the world, you can’t do it by hunkering down, collecting a group of people together and having a couple of rings of steel around them so they can go about their business within that  gated community. That’s not what’s meant to be going on is it?

Capt. Tiernan: Well what’s meant to be going on and what is going on is that the British army’s engaged in a counter- insurgency campaign alongside the international security forces and the Afghan national security forces. A classic counter-insurgency campaign will talk about the ‘inkspot approach’ and that means that you provide an area or you secure an area such as a gated community, such as I have got in my area of operations, and because you then demonstrate to the population how life is better when it’s under the influence of ISAF and Afghan national security forces as opposed to the Taliban or the insurgency then that attracts other people into that area and the inkspot can spread.  So in my area we opened up a school two weeks ago which is a huge, huge thing for  the local people, and indeed my commanding officer said that the thermometer of our success would be the success of that school, so you would be…

John Humphries: But as soon as you go the Taliban will come back.

Capt. Tiernan: Well, hopefully when we go we leave behind Afghan national security forces that can provide their own security.

John Humphries: How long will that take?

Capt. Tiernan: I am not going to speculate on how long that can take, I believe the chief of the defence staff spoke on that yesterday. But what I can say what I can speak about is that is my third tour in Afghanistan in successive years. The first time I was there we were engaged mainly in defeating the Taliban. Last summer we were…

John Humphries: Which we thought we had done and failed.

Capt. Tiernan: Which in my experience we were doing pretty successfully. Last summer I was on patrol with Afghans but with a smaller group say 3 or 4 Afghans to maybe 20 British soldiers and here with McChrystal’s directive which has the support of Task Force Helmund’s headquarters we see British forces moving towards embedded partnering.  As I have said I believe that’s exactly the right way forward in Afghanistan.

John Humphries: But as things stand we are getting this dreadful drip drip drip of British soldiers being killed in Afghanistan. It’s averaging about 2 a week isn’t it this year so far. And their loved ones here at home are wondering how long it’s going to go on. Obviously you as a captain cannot tell me that, but they are asking themselves what is the evidence that it’s working. You can say from your narrow obviously micro view of what’s going on that in your particular area you’re with a decent bunch of people who are doing a decent job. You can’t speak for the country as a whole, can you?

Capt. Tiernan: Of course I can’t, but I know of my colleagues and friends who are doing similar jobs to me throughout the province and throughout our battle area, they are having similar experiences.

John Humphries: And you’ll be happy  to go back?

Capt. Tiernan: I think the fact that I am there for the third year in a row suggests I’m happy to go back, yes.

John Humphries: Captain Andrew Tiernan thank you very much.


RELATED

 

British operations in Helmand, Afghanistan (including Operation Herrick) (pdf) by Daniel Marston.

Daniel Marston is a Research Fellow at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University and a Visiting Fellow with the Oxford Leverhulme Programme on the Changing Character of War. He was previously a Senior Lecturer in War Studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst. He has focused on the topic of how armies learn and reform as a central theme in his academic research. Dr Marston was responsible for overseeing the counter-insurgency modules for Royal Military Academy Sandhurst and the British Army. He has lectured widely on the principles and practices of counter-insurgency to units of the American, Australian, British and Canadian armed forces, as well as serving as a reviewer of and contributor to counter-insurgency doctrine for all of the above. He also continues academic research in this area, and in 2005 was appointed a Fellow of the Royal Historical Society.

The DREADFUL BUSINESS of Jamie Janes’s mother and the PM

The story of the death of, co-incidentally, Grenadier Guardsman Jamie Janes, has taken over our airwaves over the last few days. You can hardly fail to empathise with the mother in her phone call discussion with Gordon Brown. You should also question WHY The Sun is running this campaign.

I believe the attack on Gordon Brown by a bereaved mother is unfair and unbalanced. Not because she is angry and feels that she has (right or wrong) full knowledge of all the facts regarding equipment, army funding and of the position on the ground on the day her son was killed.

I believe it is unfair because Mr Brown’s letter to her was clearly not meant to be an insult to her son.

And yet it has been portrayed as such. The whole business has been hijacked for political purposes. Mr Brown, for all his bad writing and spelling, has taken the trouble to write personally to bereaved relatives. And no allowance has been given for his poor eyesight. We are always going to have bereaved families who will blame government decision, shortcomings, “lack of” equipment. It is to my mind, beneath contempt that the papers have encouraged this bereaved mother – as I am sure they have – to record her phone conversation with the prime minister, in order – and ONLY in order to make it more difficult for him, the government, the army and in the end the entire operation in Afghanistan.

Listen to this bereaved mother’s phone call with Gordon Brown (almost 13 minutes).

While naturally sympathising with her loss, I refuse to get on board this bandwagon.  Mrs Janes  may well have complaints about equipment and there may even by some truth in the treasury’s historical position as regards funding the forces – “do you understand, Mr Brown, lack of equipment?” But in his letter to this mother I think Mr Brown was empathising and sympathising with her loss. Nothing else. Until this story broke we did not know that he had been writing to bereaved relatives.

This mother does NOT know all the ins and outs of the position on the spot at the time her son was killed.  Brown clearly had no other intention than to pass on his personal condolences. That should be reflected better, in my opinion, by this bereaved mother.




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Has Miliband’s EXIT left the door open for Blair?

November 9, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Comment at end

9th November, 2009

MILIBAND SAYS “MY FUTURE IS IN BRITISH POLITICS”

david_miliband_not for eu

Foreign Secretary David Miliband has rejected the chance to become EU high representative, the BBC understands.

So, the excuse reason that some gave for rejecting Tony Blair as EU president suddenly no longer exists. The thinking had been that Miliband was a promising candidate for the second big post in the new EU (so killing off Blair’s candidacy since Britain could not hold BOTH these posts.)

Mais naturellement, mes amis.

WHAT NOW?

If the king-makers in Europe (also known as Merkel & Sarkozy) think that they can still reject Blair for some other reason they are madder and sadder than even I could imagine.

EU leaders will all have heard this news at the dinner in Berlin tonight. Plenty to chat about over a cigarette break outside in the German rain.

Britain and other Blair supporters may have decided to called the bluff on the ‘bluff’ of the promisers of Europe. There was never any guarantee that Miliband would get the job, even if highly recommended. The reasons for NOT having Blair as EU president may have been the simple fear of being overshadowed by a more prominent European than all of them combined.

Heaven forfend any such politicking.

BROWN TO GIVE WAY TO MILIBAND?

The ‘frightener’ for Mr Brown now will be that Miliband will be more of  a threat to him as a possible successor as leader of the Labour party. We should put that concern right out of our minds. I have little doubt that Mr Brown has had enough already. He is now likely to be looking forward to a less cruel future than his present under the British press.  In fact he and colleagues may be quite prepared to go for a handover to David Miliband prior to the next election.  Especially so if Blair becomes EU president and the choices facing Britain can be laid out in a two-pronged attack – Blair & Miliband against a seemingly split and confused Conservative future, particularly as regards their approach to the EU.

Time to place a euro or two on TB for President? (See present betting here below)


BBC report on Miliband statement tonight

‘He was seen as a frontrunner for the foreign affairs job, one of two created by the EU Treaty, but has insisted he is not “available” to be a candidate.

BBC political editor Nick Robinson said Mr Miliband had told the head of the European socialists’ group on Sunday he was not interested in the job.

Foreign secretary since 2007, he has been touted as a future Labour leader.

He has been campaigning hard for former PM Tony Blair to get the other job created by the Lisbon Treaty, that of president of the European Council.

But there have been suggestions that Mr Miliband might be in the running for the foreign affairs role if Mr Blair fails to be selected for the job of president.

The foreign secretary had responded to speculation he might take the job of EU high representative for foreign affairs by saying he was not “available” to be a candidate but had not ruled out taking it if it was offered.

BBC political editor Nick Robinson said he understood Mr Miliband had told the president of the centre-left grouping in the European Parliament that he was not interested in the job when they met on Sunday.’

SEE THE REAL TIME BETTING AT PADDY POWER

As at 23:00 on 9th Nov 2009:

Van Rompuy 1.50;  Blair 6.50;  Balkenende 8;  Juncker 8.

There is another alternative, of course, not yet mooted. Blair might decide that HE would be better suited for the First High Representative job, especially since this is more of a foreign policy post than is the President post.

Right now, Miliband is still the favourite at Paddy Power for the High Representative post, and is quoted at 1:90. With the news of his exit, which can be taken as a definite probably, that might all change overnight.

Watch this space.

[UPDATE 11:00, 10th Nov - TOP EU JOBS:  Miliband has slipped quite dramatically into second place at 6.00. Blair has remained at second at  same price. So no change there yet.]

(You can tweet D Miliband here. He might even reply to you!)

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The European folly of deciding ‘TO NOT BE’ a superpower

November 9, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Comment at end

9th November, 2009

Why Europe Needs A Strong President

If, like me, you can hardly believe the unedifying confusion ongoing over the EU presidency – weak v strong/chairman v president/non-controversial v experienced individual etc – you’ll be pleased to know you’re not the only one.

Watch this Radio Netherlands interview with their senior analyst Bernard Hammelburg.

From that website:

‘Now that the Lisbon Treaty has been ratified, Europe will soon have its first president. Belgian prime minister Herman van Rompuy seems to stand a better chance than Dutch prime minister Jan Peter Balkenende. But according to the European Council on Foreign Relations, a prominent think tank, Europe is completely on the wrong track.

RNW’s senior foreign affairs analyst Bernard Hammelburg explains that the Obama administration was hoping a strong personality would emerge, so that they could talk at the same level. This would mean a welcome reduction in the number of one-to-one meetings the President has to schedule with the leaders of the larger European nations. The EU also needs a strong voice on major international issues such as climate control.’

BLAIR for OBAMA’S SAKE?

It may not be the case, I realise, but I have long suspected that Mr Obama is hoping and praying for a strong European leader – all right, for Tony Blair – who will help take some of the present heavy load from his shoulders, viz the Middle East and international issues around fundamentalism and terrorism.

BLAIR for THE CLIMATE’S SAKE?

See my previous post here.

RELATED

The European Council on Foreign Relations




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(Video): Brown at the Cenotaph – the shame of the unbowing PM

November 9, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Comment at end

9th November, 2009

REMEMBRANCE DAY – REMEMBER, GORDON?

I saw this reported earlier and frankly I didn’t believe it.

Our present Prime Minister – Gordon Brown – was the only one laying a wreath NOT TO BOW at the cenotaph.

But it’s TRUE!

Watch the entire televised coverage here. Mr Brown walks forward to lay his wreath on behalf of the government at around 42mins 50secs.  He follows all the Royal family. They had all either saluted or bowed their heads as appropriate after laying their wreaths.

Mr Brown – OUR PRIME MINISTER – did not. All the other politicians following him did bow.

cenotaph_2009_GBrownwatchedbyTB_AP

Gordon Brown walks to the cenotaph to lay his wreath, watched by Nick Clegg (Lib Dem leader), Tony Blair and David Cameron (Conservative leader.)

You will notice that Mr Brown looked particularly restless in the several minutes before he walked to lay the wreath. Not at all comfortable. In contrast Tony Blair was unflinching in his stillness.

I can only surmise that Mr Brown’s failure to bow his head, even just slightly, was not an intended snub to our troops or their families but rather an oversight. Perhaps it was a sign of his nervousness over current public unrest regarding the Afghanistan conflict.

But whatever it was I am sure it would never have happened if Mr Blair were laying that wreath.

It’s not as though this is the first time Mr Brown has taken part in this ceremony. This is in fact his third year as PM on Remembrance Day. Did he bow on the two previous occasions? I think he must have, or we would have heard about it from the feral press.  So how could he have forgotten this time when the armed forces are so prominent in everyone’s thoughts?

Oh, for God’s sake, Gordon. If the job’s too tough, please get out of the kitchen.

RELATED

Bereaved mother upset over Brown’s letter of condolences

To be quite frank I think this has been overblown. Clearly Mr Brown did not mean to insult or upset anyone.  But, there we go.  It’s worth a fuss for a certain agenda.  I suppose we are meant to sympathise only with the mother of the dead soldier here.  After all, aren’t we meant to empathise with anyone who isn’t all that keen on the foreign policies of this government?  Sorry if that sounds harsh, but there you go.  Life is harsh at times.

For once I agree with a commenter at The Daily Mail:

“What kind of society are we becoming? I am not a labour supporter but stop kicking a man when he’s down. He made the effort to hand write a letter at least, nothing he does seems to be right.

The man lost a baby and his second child has cystic fibrosis, he’s not exactly had an easy time of it. I feel people are being excessively cruel and need to lay off a bit.”

See also BBC report – PM apologises




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Proud to be Tony Blair Supporters … & WHY

November 8, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

The FT: A central European diplomat says that Tony Blair, although not presently favourite for EU president, ‘may come back’ as ‘nothing is excluded.’

Comment at end

8th November, 2009

In case readers get the impression that this is the only blog out there in support of Tony Blair, it’s time to mention a few others.

And just as a reminder, there follows just some of the reasons WHY his supporters remain loyal. I don’t purport to speak for all the opinions on Tony Blair of all the below-mentioned, of course. But it seems fair to suggest that at least some of these reasons apply in most of these cases. If not, I’m sure they’ll correct me.

First the WHO.

Later (here) the WHY.

WHO ARE SOME OF THE BLOGGERS FOR BLAIR?

1. There’s the Blair Foundation BlogspotRecent post Europygmies V EU President Blair, Round 2. Another recent post – Full text: Cameron speech on EU – So long, farewell, auf Wiedersehen, goodbye. And the latest, Europygmies Round 3, is here.

Blair Foundation Blogspot links to this reference to the EU’s representation on the IMF Board being reduced to ONE. A suggestion of the EU federalist and present prime minister Jean-Claude Juncker. This man also happens to be a candidate for the EU presidency; useful to know where he’s coming from and where he’d like to take us.

2. Here at the excellent Against Mainstream Opinion, Puschiii’s present post is titled “The Superstar and the Nobodies”.

3. Would you Buy it For a Quarter has various writers, on various topics. Caela, one of their contributors,  is a strong Blair supporter.

MAINSTREAM JOURNALISTS

There are even mainstream journalists whose pro-Blair credentials are frequently on show. Of these Tony Blair’s biographer John Rentoul is pre-eminent.  Samples of his writings here – Did Blair betray Britain – answer “No” and here -  Cameron is the New Blair.

Rentoul along with Oliver KammEurope’s runners and riders – and Stephen Pollard all signed the Ban Blair-Baiting petition (at the Iraq Inquiry). For me, that marks them out as good guys amongst the generally severely infected ranks of the feral beasts of the British press.

MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT

To be quite frank I am astonished, although perhaps I shouldn’t be, that there is only one MP – Tom Harris – who makes it clear repeatedly that he is a Blair Supporter. Recently he wrote on Blair, Cameron & Europe. Tom too signed the Ban Blair-Baiting petition. Presumably the rest of the Labour party would just love to see Blair “baited”!

NOT FORGETTING

Alastair Campbell’s blog’s raison d-etre, in common with the other above-named journalists, is not specifically in order to support his old friend. But he does so on many occasions, such as here and here.



 

NOW THE WHY

WHY his supporters think Blair is the right man to be the first permanent EU Council president.

LEADERSHIP

Re-telling the work he did as Prime Minister will never convince those whose opining pales in comparison to Blair’s action. That’s par for the course. But for the more rational among us it is clear that the peace settlement in Northern Ireland, the devolution settlements to Scotland and Wales and his public finance initiatives in health and education will all be lasting monuments.

On becoming leader in 1994 Tony Blair set about rescuing his party from 18 years in the wilderness. Even before becoming PM he had ditched  Clause 4.

Watch and hear Blair here in 1990 when he was Shadow Employment Secretary.  Disregard for a moment the rights & wrongs of the ‘closed shop’ debate. Listen to how the masterful Blair frames his attack on then Employment Secretary Michael Howard. Tony Blair, seven years away from becoming PM says, “.. it is wrong because it looks back not forward. We cannot address the challenges of the future through the prejudices of the past.” Ring any bells in today’s EU argument?

Tony Blair vs. Michael Howard January 1990

In 1997 he went on to win a landslide victory taking seats the Labour party could only ever have dreamt of under any other leader. This was followed by a second landslide in 2001, but only after Blair had set in train the settlement of the decades-long conflict in Northern Ireland, which was to take all of his ten years as Prime Minister to complete.

INTERNATIONAL INTERVENTIONS

Internationally Tony Blair helped lead the battle to free Muslims from Christian ethnic cleansing in Kosovo. He rescued thousands from brutal attacks including limb-chopping, rape and murder in Sierra Leone in 2000.

After  9/11, 2001 Blair stood by America’s side, as ANY British Prime Minister would and should have done.  Britain, was a first mover, true, but was only one of DOZENS of countries to stand by the USA.  Blair’s Britain was NOT alone in supporting “Bush’s America” in its attack in Afghanistan, much as those of selective memories like to claim it was.

And as for Iraq – the same applied.

The 2003 invasion of Iraq, (from March 20 to May 1, 2003) was led by the United States, backed by British forces and smaller contingents from Australia, Denmark, Poland and Spain. Four countries participated with troops during the initial invasion phase, which lasted from March 20 to May 1. These were the United States (248,000), United Kingdom (45,000), Australia (2,000), and Poland (194). 36 other countries were involved in its aftermath.

Some insist that the Iraq invasion was a failure, disaster, or whatever choice descriptive word fits their own agendas. In fact it seems to be dawning on many that in intent, motivation and in outcome it was by far the more successful of the two Middle East wars that the west has recently become engaged in.

It is extremely odd and peculiarly unbalanced how Blair’s interventions which resulted in peace are seldom recognised in anything like the same terms as these two ‘wars of choice’ are.  Presumably if they had all been over in a fortnight, all would have been AOK.

NOBEL PRIZE STILL OUTSTANDING

Mr Obama got one, though what for WHO knows.  I certainly don’t. But for his efforts in several parts of the world, for our former PM, zilch recognition from this quarter. This is a shameful omission.

THE PRO-ACTIVE FORMER PRIME MINISTER

Since stepping down from office, Mr Blair has been uniquely pro-active. In fact his naysayers find his ‘boundless energy’ irritating.  Envious, embittered armchair generals and opiners? Certainly NOT deciders.

From his Sports Foundation in the north of England, which has already funded coaches and children in sports, to his Faith Foundation set up to bring faiths together, Mr Blair has been dynamic.  In fact he’s the dynamos’ dynamo.

He takes the expected and clearly envious flak for the fact that he is highly prized and rewarded as a public speaker and as an adviser to business. At the same time he has become a professor at Yale university on Faith and Globalisation.

In fact I contend it would be difficult to invent a character so complex and so successfully busy, and sell such a story as fiction.

CLIMATE ISSUES

For years, and perhaps particularly since leaving office, he has led the climate change debate WORLDWIDE. He is now a leading light in The Climate Group.

Here, Chinese martial arts champion and film star Jet-Li praises Mr Blair’s contribution to the debate and to the ACTION.

What does Jet-Li have to say about the other contenders for the EU presidency? Might I suggest, ‘Er … who?’

In fact what does the EU and the world have to say about the other candidates’ commitment to ANY of the world’s important causes? The very idea that some in the EU think Blair is NOT the right man for this job is mind-boggling.

Jet Li and Tony Blair launch 1000 village plan to tackle climate change (Aug 2009)

[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toPblDNzOa4]

Pictures from Jet Li’s site – Alive, not Dead

CLIMATE WORLDWIDE

And here, on 4th November Mr Blair spells out the critical importance of Copenhagen at the recent Queensland Climate Summit

Tony Blair urges investment in Rwanda and Sierra Leone at the ‘Private Equity in Africa’ Summit

Tony Blair meets volunteers on Lumley Beach in Sierra Leone

Tony Blair meets volunteers on Lumley Beach in Sierra Leone

View more from Tony Blair’s YouTube channel here and at his website here.

QUARTET ENVOY TO THE MIDDLE EAST

Mr Blair got this job before he left Downing Street. But, despite a lot of good work on the streets and with business and infrastructure projects, some of which have been held up for months by the Israelis, Mr Blair does not and never did have the power to bring peace to the troubled Israeli/Palestine conflict. He was never a “peace negotiator” and so has not ‘failed’ in that task.

In a dreadful and misleading article at The Guardian George Monbiot repeated the much-abused description of Tony Blair as “the Middle East peace envoy”. In fact the Quartet’s statement of his appointment  showed that his mandate was to encourage foreign investment in Palestine and related matters. His job was not to run, organise or push in political terms the peace process.

But as many Americans say that Obama has failed, failed, failed in the Middle East, Blair is still blamed by some for not yet having solved the issues on his little ownsome. After all, ordinary mortals have been trying to resolve it for the last 60 years. What’s taking SuperBlair so long?

On Thursday, PA leader Mahmoud Abbas said he would stand down in January, and today, despite being urged to change his mind by Israel’s  Peres, he is talking about dismantling the PA and declaring the peace process over.

LONDON OLYMPICS

In 2012 the eyes of the world will be on London’s Olympic Games. Whose legacy is this? One guess? Without Mr Blair’s relentless input this would clearly never have been won. Mr Obama couldn’t do it recently for America, but Mr Blair did it for Britain.

THE EU ‘PRESIDENCY’

The burning issue right now is whether Mr Blair will, or even should take the post of the first president of the EU Council. It is clear where I stand on this. There is no real alternative. And even if there were A N Other who was tackling important concerns like the climate and religious issues, few would have Blair’s experience or high profile and perhaps above all his unmatched communication skills.


GORDON BROWN IS STRUGGLING IN ALL LEADERSHIP ARENAS

 

It was ever thus, of course. But Blair’s leadership abilities have been even clearer to see in comparison to Brown since he left office, love him or loathe him.

Unlike Blair, Gordon Brown has always been unable to explain coherently our engagement in Afghanistan. It was exactly the same over Iraq.  I do not recall the forces’ chiefs criticising Blair’s leadership as they do Brown.

Talk at the Telegraph is that on Monday the news may be that Belgium’s (until now unknown) Prime Minister, Van-Rompuy may learn that he has clinched the EU presidency. We’ll see.

This 1st November article at The Times raises some interesting thoughts as to the ins-and-outs of deciding the EU presidency. Ignore the commenters. Their antipathy towards Blair will hold no water as more light and less heat is cast upon the issues.

Meanwhile at Gleneagles – BROWN’S FINANCIAL SURPRISE & CLIMATE AGREEMENT FAILURE

At the G20 in St Andrews Gordon Brown is not getting as much support as he’d like. From Canada and more importantly from the USA on Brown’s plans for a financial transaction levy the US Treasury Secretary Timothy Gethner responded with a big “no, no”. The British Bankers Association says this 30 year-old idea is not a runner, since it would be impossible to get ALL countries on board.

Something tells me that if he were still Prime Minister Mr Blair would NEVER have suggested this policy.

As for the G20’s hopes for a climate agreement – er  – well, nothing. Bodes well for Copenhagan, doesn’t it?

Which brings me back to the main reason many of us support Tony Blair – political nous, high profile in the important issues and the LEADERSHIP to advance  the agenda.


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Campbell on Brown/Obama/Afghanistan & leadership (?)

November 7, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Q&A Timetable on Blair’s (& Others’) EU Dream – How Soon Will They Know? Soon.

Comment at end

7th November, 2009

ALASTAIR CAMPBELL WRITING BETWEEN THE LINES

As British military leaders attack Gordon Brown for his lack of leadership over Afghanistan – [what! have they just noticed?] - Alastair Campbell adds his two pennurth.

It must be tough at times, trying to write between the lines for this Labour party faithful.  It’s tough enough for the rest of us trying to read that way.


ALASTAIR CAMPBELL’S BLOG POST

 

US clarity of strategy required for full explanation on Afghanistan

Gordon Brown is right today to be setting out – and he should keep setting out – the basic case for Britain’s involvement in Afghanistan.

As Paddy Ashdown said yesterday, this war will not be won or lost militarily, but in the bars, sitting rooms and workplaces of those countries – democracies – who are contributing the soldiers putting their lives at risk.

So the democracies have to be persuaded, again and again, that the sacrifice and bloodshed is worthy of the cause. Not easy against the backdrop of a corrupt and widely discredited Afghan leadership being re-elected. Nor when we know so much of the drugs on our streets comes from there. Nor when an Afghan the British are training turns fire on them and adds to our war dead.

The current situation reminds me of an important moment during the Kosovo crisis when President Clinton and Tony Blair came to the view that however mightier, in military terms, Nato was against Milosevic’s forces, the public opinion battle was being lost, putting the entire strategy at risk.

What’s more, in some ways it was easier to explain Kosovo. Night after night TV was telling the stories of barbarism and butchery as people fled ethnic cleansing in their tens of thousands. Basic human sympathy was also matched by a hard-headed worry among leaders and public alike that today’s refugees would become tomorrow’s additional strain on EU countries like ours.

And even with those factors at play, it was hard enough.

Afghanistan is harder. The memories of 9/11 and 7/7, for many, are not as powerful as they were. The threat to troops on the ground is all too clear. The threat they are seeking to contain – terrorism fostered there then implemented here – is less clear, and when prevented it is invisible, so less easy to explain. The complicated politics of the region, Pakistan’s as well as Afghanistan’s, make it even harder.

But the other recollection I have from Kosovo is that when the explanation is clear, detailed, and co-ordinated across the countries involved, then the public will listen and understand, even when things go wrong.

As in so much else, the US have to take the lead. The decisions President Obama has in his pending tray are about as big as they get for a leader. That explains why he is taking his time.

As I said on a vlog here recently, I think Obama, facing a newly resurgent and pretty vicious Republican Party, is a good man doing a good job, and he deserves continuing support. But it is harder for Britain, and the other countries involved in Afghanistan, properly to explain the situation without the absolute clarity of strategy from the US.

As well as giving leaders space to explain, the public will also give leaders time to reach difficult decisions. But the US strategy needs that real clarity pretty soon. Then, as the military strategy unfolds, there has to be a concerted and internationalised communications strategy alongside it.

Nato v Milosevic, militarily, was like Manchester United against a Conference team. It is the same now, though the Taliban are in some ways an even tougher opponent than the Serbs back then.

But Ashdown is right that public opinion, in the collection of democracies involved, is where the strategy can be derailed.

So GB is right to be out there today, explaining. But it will become a lot easier for him and the other leaders involved when Obama has spoken clearly and definitively on the medium and the long term, and how the objectives for both are to be met.


One of Campbell’’s commenters poses this ‘question’ or is it a statement?  Saves Alastair doing it himself:

 

Patrick McGovern

2009-11-06 11:19:20

You mention three figures from the past – Blair, Clinton and Ashdown. Plus you allude to what you yourself did — I have read The Blair Years — in Kosovo. Could the problem be that in the case of all four of you, with the ‘jury out’ possible exception of Obama, your successors do not have the same skills of leadership and communication?


MY THOUGHTS

 

1. I don’t suggest that it is easy for Brown or Obama to lay the case out as clearly as they might, or should. They both watched as their predecessors were taken apart in the press over Iraq and Afghanistan, and their every motive questioned. But …

2. When the day dawns that one of the high-and-mighties who have been running our armed forces over recent years  AND such as Mr Ashdown admit that there was ONE British leader recently who actually got it RIGHT on this explain/don’t complain approach, I’ll eat my hat.

LEADERSHIP IS IMPORTANT.

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Ashdown – ‘Afghanistan could be lost in the bars of Britain’




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Juncker’s objection to Blair’s candidacy – You’re TOO Big!

November 6, 2009 by keeptonyblairforpm

Q&A Timetable on Blair’s (& Others’) EU Dream – How Soon Will They Know? Soon.

Comment at end

7th November, 2009

P.S. TO THE PREVIOUS POST

BLAIR’S BRITAIN IS TOO BIG FOR THE EU JOB

In a respected German paper there is an article about Juncker which sounded particularly aggressive towards Germany. It also has this, from Luxembourg’s Prime Minister, and EU presidential candidate:

“Juncker betonte, es habe bei der Schaffung des Postens im gescheiterten Verfassungsvertrag “ein informelles Einverständnis gegeben, dass der erste EU-Ratspräsident nicht aus einem großen Land kommen sollte”.

Translation -

“Juncker stressed when the job was introduced in the failed Constitution, an informal consensus between the heads of states was reached that the first EU President should not come from a big member state.”

The whole page has been translated here (If it does not open  go to Google translator and input this web page url.)

Since Tony Blair is one of the few “candidates” in the reckoning from one of the biggest states and is second behind Belgium’s Van Rompuy in the betting, this ‘reminder’ would seem to be aimed squarely at Britain’s candidate.

We are expected to accept that the leaders of all the big countries agreed to exclude big countries’ presidency candidates.  And that our then leader agreed to that too.

REALLY?

It’s possible he might have remembered that little detail.

UNWRITTEN AGREEMENT? AS GOOD AS THE PAPER IT WAS WRITTEN ON

If there was an unwritten agreement to that effect, it might explain why some candidates names have ‘emerged’ rather than been declared.  In that case it may be that any unwritten agreement is as useful as the paper it was (un)written on.

So who are the other candidates? Below are those listed at Paddy Power, excluding the top four favourites. Apart from François Fillon (the current PM of France, don’t you know?) there is no other candidate from what would normally be described as a ‘BIG’ EU state.

No Germans, no Italians. The closest to BIG are the Spanish and Dutch candidates. Candidates below listed as in order of betting odds, the four current favourites excluded.

Wolfgang Schüssel (born June 7, 1945) is a Christian Democratic Austrian politician. He was Chancellor of Austria from February 2000 to January 2007. Since 2006 he has been chairman of the Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) faction in parliament.

Vaira Vīķe-Freiberga (also known as Vaira Vikis-Freibergs) was the 6th President of Latvia and first female President of Latvia and of eastern Europe. She was elected President of Latvia in 1999 and re-elected in 2003.

Guy Verhofstadt (Dutch pronunciation: [ˈɣiː vəɾˈɦɔfstɑt] (Speaker Icon.svg listen); born Guy Maurice Marie Louise Verhofstadt, 11 April 1953) is a Belgian politician who was Prime Minister of Belgium from 1999 to 2008. He is currently a Member of the European Parliament and leader of the liberal group in Parliament

Felipe González Márquez (born 5 March 1942) is a Spanish socialist politician. He was the General Secretary of the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) from 1974 to 1997. To date, he remains the longest-serving Prime Minister of Spain, after having served four successive mandates from 1982 to 1996. He is married and has three children.

Martti Ahtisaari (born June 23, 1937) was a UN diplomat and a President of Finland (1994 – 2000).
Martti Oiva Kalevi Ahtisaari was born in Viipuri. His father was of Norwegian descent. During the Continuation War his family moved to Kuopio, where he spent most of his childhood until they moved to Oulu in 1952. In Oulu, he joined the local YMCA. In 1959, he graduated as a teacher through a distance-learning course.

Aleksander Kwaśniewski (Pl-Aleksander Kwaśniewski.ogg [alɛˈksandɛr kfaɕˈɲɛfskʲi] (help·info); born November 15, 1954) is a post-communist Polish socialist politician who served as the President of Poland from 1995 to 2005. He was born in Białogard, and during the communist rule he was active in the communist controlled Socialist Union of Polish Students (Socjalistyczny Związek Studentów Polskich) and was sports minister in the communist government in 1980s. After the fall of communism he became a leader of the left-wing, post-communist Social Democracy of the Republic of Poland, successor to the former ruling communist Polish United Workers Party, and a cofounder of the Democratic Left Alliance

John Bruton is a former Irish Prime Minister (Taoiseach), who helped transform the Irish economy into the “Celtic Tiger,” one of the fastest growing economies in the world. In the year before he took office (1993) the Irish economy grew by 2.7%. During his time as Taoiseach (1994-1997), the Irish economy grew at an annual average rate of 8.7%, peaking at 11.1% in 1997. John Bruton was also deeply involved in the Northern Irish Peace Process leading to the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, under whose terms a conflict of allegiances dating back to the seventeenth century was resolved.

Paavo Tapio Lipponen (Fi-Paavo_Lipponen.ogg pronunciation (help·info)) (born April 23, 1941) is a Finnish politician and former reporter. He was Prime Minister of Finland from 1995 to 2003 [1], and Chairman of the Finnish Social Democratic Party from 1993 to 2005. He also served as Speaker of the Parliament of Finland 2003-2007 [2].

François Fillon (French pronunciation: [fʁɑ̃swa fijɔ̃]; born 4 March 1954 in Le Mans, Sarthe) is the current Prime Minister of France, having been appointed to that office by President Nicolas Sarkozy on 17 May 2007.[1][2]

Tarja Kaarina Halonen (help·info) (Finnish pronunciation: [tɑrjɑ kɑːrinɑ hɑlonen]; born December 24, 1943) is the 11th and current President of Finland. The first female to hold the office, Halonen had previously been a member of the parliament from 1979 to 2000 when she resigned after her election to the presidency. In addition to her political career she had a long and extensive career in trade unions and different non-governmental organizations.

Anders Fogh Rasmussen (Danish pronunciation: [⁽ˈ⁾ɑnɐs ˈfɔʊ̯ˀ ˈʀɑsmusn̩] (Speaker Icon.svg listen)) (born 26 January 1953) is a Danish politician, and the current Secretary General of NATO[1]. Rasmussen served as Prime Minister of Denmark from November 27, 2001 to April 5, 2009.

Mary Therese Winifred Robinson (Irish: Máire Mhic Róibín;[2] born 21 May 1944) served as the seventh, and first female, President of Ireland, serving from 1990 to 1997, and the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, from 1997 to 2002.

See all candidates here with current betting.

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